San Juan v Doneztebe FT prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

San JuanDrawDoneztebe FT

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · San Juan 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Juan are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Juan 51%, draw 27%, Doneztebe FT 22%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on San Juan v Doneztebe FTBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

San Juan win51%

Draw27%

Doneztebe FT win22%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup 15 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Juan

Doneztebe FT

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	San Juan	8	+5	11
10	Doneztebe FT	7	+5	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san juan winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make San Juan a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · San Juan v Doneztebe FT~~1.61 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 9~~5 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Juan win	51%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Doneztebe FT win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
San Juan or draw	78%	–	–
San Juan clean sheet	39%	–	–
Doneztebe FT clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 9.2 6.4 3.6 1 11.4 12.6 5.5 2 9.9 9.1 4.4 3 5.3 4.9 2.4 4 2.2 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Juan down, Doneztebe FT across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,472 Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.1% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

San Juan at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Doneztebe FT away: 1.00 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for San Juan, 0.95 for Doneztebe FT. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 11 Sept

SAN JUAN

LDWLWD0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 1–1

DONEZTEBE FT

LDDLDW0–2 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Izarra	8	+20	22
2	Mutilvera	8	+12	20
3	Beti Kozkor	8	+2	16
4	Gazte Berriak	7	+3	13
5	San Juan	8	+5	11
6	Avance Ezcabarte	8	+4	11
7	Subiza	7	+3	10
8	Aoiz	8	+1	10
9	Txantrea	8	−1	10
10	Doneztebe FT	7	+5	9
11	Valle Egüés	7	0	9
12	Beti Onak	8	−2	8
13	Cirbonero	7	−8	8
14	Huarte	8	−3	7
15	Pamplona	8	−5	7
16	Cortes	7	−10	5
17	Bidezarra	7	−9	3
18	Cantolagua	7	−17	3