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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 › San Juan v Cantolagua

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San Juan v Cantolagua

San Juan
4–0Full time
Cantolagua

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 20:01
San Juan 4–0 Cantolagua SAN JUAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Juan win74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.108

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Juan win at 74%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: San Juan 74% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 73–18–9
  3. 1′KICK-OFF San Juan v Cantolagua
  4. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' San Juan win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
  5. 36′We said San Juan at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 62–27–11
  6. 42′We said San Juan at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–30–11
  7. 43′A goal for San Juan on 43′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 89–9–2
  8. 43′We said San Juan at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–9–2
  9. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' San Juan 1–0 Cantolagua
  10. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' San Juan win: 74% at kick-off, 89% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME San Juan 1–0 Cantolagua
  12. 46′SECOND HALF San Juan 1–0 Cantolagua
  13. 52′San Juan score on 52′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  14. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' San Juan 2–0 Cantolagua
  15. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' San Juan win: 74% at kick-off, 99% now
  16. 53′We said San Juan at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  17. 53′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  18. 72′San Juan find the net on 70′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 72′⚽ GOAL · 70' San Juan 3–0 Cantolagua
  20. 73′We said San Juan at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 84′A goal for San Juan on 83′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' San Juan 4–0 Cantolagua
  24. FTFULL TIME San Juan 4–0 Cantolagua
  25. FTSan Juan 4–0 Cantolagua · San Juan win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Juan are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Juan 74%, draw 18%, Cantolagua 9%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on San Juan v CantolaguaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

San Juan win74%
Draw18%
Cantolagua win9%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:30

RoundGroup 15 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Juan

Cantolagua

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11San Juan6+17
18Cantolagua6−133

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san juan winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
74% The market–
Us74%

We make San Juan a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Juan v Cantolagua2.41 – 0.70
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 5 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 7 v 311 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Juan win74%––
Draw18%––
Cantolagua win9%––
Over 2.5 goals59%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals37%––
San Juan or draw91%––
San Juan clean sheet50%––
Cantolagua clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.7%
0123450 5.6 2.6 1 10.3 8.3 2.7 2 12.7 8.7 3.1 3 10.1 6.9 2.4 4 6.2 4.2 5 3.1 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+San Juan down, Cantolagua across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsSAN 4–0 CAN · CAN 0–4 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 5 Sept

SAN JUAN

WLLDWL5–0 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

CANTOLAGUA

LWLLLL0–6 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Izarra6+1718
2Mutilvera7+917
3Beti Kozkor7+516
4Gazte Berriak6+413
5Avance Ezcabarte7+511
6Subiza7+310
7Doneztebe FT7+59
8Aoiz6+29
9Valle Egüés709
10Beti Onak7+18
11San Juan6+17
12Txantrea6−56
13Cirbonero6−95
14Cortes7−105
15Pamplona6−24
16Huarte7−44
17Bidezarra7−93
18Cantolagua6−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.