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Izarra v Pamplona

Izarra
2–1Full time
Pamplona

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06
Izarra 2–1 Pamplona IZARRA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Izarra win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.289

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Izarra win at 56%.
  2. 3′KICK-OFF Izarra v Pamplona
  3. 5′Little has changed for our model: Izarra 56% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–23–20
  4. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Izarra 1–0 Pamplona
  5. 45′39′ and it is 1–0: Izarra have scored. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Izarra 1–0 Pamplona
  7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Izarra 1–0 Pamplona
  9. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Izarra 2–0 Pamplona
  10. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  12. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  13. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  14. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  15. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Izarra win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  16. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Izarra 2–1 Pamplona
  17. FTFULL TIME Izarra 2–1 Pamplona
  18. FTIzarra 2–1 Pamplona · Izarra win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Izarra win56%
Draw25%
Pamplona win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · izarra winPublished 10 Oct 15:43
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Izarra a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Izarra win56%––
Draw25%––
Pamplona win19%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Izarra or draw81%––
Izarra clean sheet37%––
Pamplona clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 7.1 4.8 2.9 1 9.8 11.6 5.2 2 9.9 9.6 4.8 3 6.1 6.0 3.0 4 2.9 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Izarra down, Pamplona across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsPAM 5–1 IZA · IZA 1–1 PAM · IZA 0–2 PAM · PAM 2–1 IZA

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

IZARRA

LWWWWW1–5 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 2–0

PAMPLONA

WDLDDD5–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Izarra5+1615
2Beti Kozkor6+413
3Gazte Berriak6+413
4Mutilvera5+611
5Aoiz5+39
6Avance Ezcabarte5+68
7Subiza5+37
8San Juan5+27
9Doneztebe FT6+36
10Valle Egüés6−16
11Txantrea6−56
12Beti Onak6−35
13Cortes6−65
14Pamplona5−14
15Huarte6−34
16Bidezarra5−63
17Cantolagua5−123
18Cirbonero5−102

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.