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Huarte v Avance Ezcabarte
Huarte
Avance EzcabarteTercera División RFEF - Group 15 · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Huarte win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Huarte was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Huarte v Avance Ezcabarte
- 45′HALF-TIME Huarte 0–0 Avance Ezcabarte
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Huarte win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Huarte 0–0 Avance Ezcabarte
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Huarte win 38%)
- 52′We said Huarte at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–42–22
- 53′Huarte score on 52′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
- 53′We published Huarte at 47%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–5
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Huarte 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Huarte win: 47% at kick-off, 78% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Huarte win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 42%)
- 60′We published Huarte at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
- 72′We published Huarte at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Huarte win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 80′We published Huarte at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 87′We published Huarte at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Huarte win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- FTFULL TIME Huarte 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte
- FTHuarte 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte · Huarte win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Huarte are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Huarte 47%, draw 27%, Avance Ezcabarte 26%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 05:16 · locked at kick-off
Huarte win47%
Avance Ezcabarte win26%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:00
RoundGroup 15 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
HuarteMIN
Avance EzcabarteEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Huarte
Avance Ezcabarte
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Huarte a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huarte win | 47% | 43% | +4 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Avance Ezcabarte win | 26% | 29% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 32% | −1 |
| Huarte or draw | 74% | 71% | +3 |
| Huarte clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Avance Ezcabarte clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 10 Sept
HUARTE
AVANCE EZCABARTE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 2 | Mutilvera | 7 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Beti Kozkor | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Gazte Berriak | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Avance Ezcabarte | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | San Juan | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Subiza | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Doneztebe FT | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 9 | Aoiz | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Valle Egüés | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Beti Onak | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 | Cirbonero | 7 | −8 | 8 |
| 13 | Pamplona | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 14 | Txantrea | 7 | −5 | 7 |
| 15 | Cortes | 7 | −10 | 5 |
| 16 | Huarte | 7 | −4 | 4 |
| 17 | Bidezarra | 7 | −9 | 3 |
| 18 | Cantolagua | 7 | −17 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Izarra
Mutilvera
Beti Kozkor
Gazte Berriak
San Juan
Subiza
Doneztebe FT
Aoiz
Valle Egüés
Beti Onak
Cirbonero
Pamplona
Txantrea
Cortes
Bidezarra
Cantolagua