Beti Onak v Izarra

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Izarra win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Izarra 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 23–25–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Beti Onak v Izarra
4. 11′Beti Onak score on 11′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 50–23–27
5. 11′We said Izarra at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–0 · 50–23–27
6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Beti Onak 1–0 Izarra
7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Izarra win: 52% at kick-off, 27% now
8. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Beti Onak win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Izarra win 50%)
9. 19′We said Izarra at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 52–24–24
10. 24′Izarra find the net on 24′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–29–47
11. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Beti Onak 1–1 Izarra
12. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Izarra win: 52% at kick-off, 47% now
13. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Izarra win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Beti Onak win 53%)
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Izarra win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
15. 45′A goal for Izarra on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–17–78
16. 45′We said Izarra at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–2 · 6–17–78
17. 45′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 6–17–78
18. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' Beti Onak 1–2 Izarra
19. 45′HALF-TIME Beti Onak 1–2 Izarra
20. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Izarra win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
21. 46′SECOND HALF Beti Onak 1–2 Izarra
22. 47′We said Izarra at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 22–38–40 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
23. 55′We said Izarra at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 4–16–80
24. 61′Izarra score on 61′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–97
25. 61′We said Izarra at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 1–3 · 0–3–97
26. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Beti Onak 1–3 Izarra
27. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Izarra win: 52% at kick-off, 97% now
28. 62′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–3–97
29. 82′We said Izarra at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
30. 104′Izarra find the net on 90′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
31. 104′⚽ GOAL · 90+14' Beti Onak 1–4 Izarra
32. FTFULL TIME Beti Onak 1–4 Izarra
33. FTBeti Onak 1–4 Izarra · Izarra win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.