Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 › Aoiz v San Juan

Back
Spain flag

Aoiz v San Juan

Aoiz
1–1Full time
San Juan

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Aoiz 1–1 San Juan SAN JUAN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said San Juan win37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.702

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Juan are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Aoiz 32%, draw 32%, San Juan 37%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Aoiz v San JuanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Aoiz win32%
Draw32%
San Juan win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup 15 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Aoiz

San Juan

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6San Juan7+510
9Aoiz7+19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san juan winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make San Juan a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Aoiz v San Juan1.03 – 1.13
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 11 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 9 v 109 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:11
Our probability · San Juan win

Published at 35%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Aoiz win32%––
Draw32%––
San Juan win37%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Aoiz or draw63%––
Aoiz clean sheet33%––
San Juan clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%
0123450 13.0 11.9 7.4 2.8 1 10.7 14.3 7.4 2.8 2 6.1 6.8 3.8 3 2.2 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Aoiz down, San Juan across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsSAN 0–0 AOI · AOI 1–2 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 11 Sept

AOIZ

WDDWLL2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

SAN JUAN

LLDWLW1–4 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Izarra7+1719
2Mutilvera7+917
3Beti Kozkor7+516
4Gazte Berriak7+313
5Avance Ezcabarte8+411
6San Juan7+510
7Subiza7+310
8Doneztebe FT7+59
9Aoiz7+19
10Valle Egüés709
11Beti Onak7+18
12Cirbonero7−88
13Pamplona7−17
14Huarte8−37
15Txantrea7−57
16Cortes7−105
17Bidezarra7−93
18Cantolagua7−173

The competition's standings before kick-off.