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Aoiz v Avance Ezcabarte

Aoiz
0–1Full time
Avance Ezcabarte

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06
Aoiz 0–1 Avance Ezcabarte AOIZ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Aoiz win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.807

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 2 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aoiz win at 45%.
  2. 3′KICK-OFF Aoiz v Avance Ezcabarte
  3. 5′Much as we predicted: Aoiz was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–27–28
  4. FTFULL TIME Aoiz 0–1 Avance Ezcabarte
  5. FTAoiz 0–1 Avance Ezcabarte · Aoiz win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Aoiz win45%
Draw28%
Avance Ezcabarte win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · aoiz winPublished 10 Oct 17:54
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Aoiz a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Aoiz win45%––
Draw28%––
Avance Ezcabarte win27%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Aoiz or draw73%––
Aoiz clean sheet33%––
Avance Ezcabarte clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%
0123450 8.9 7.1 4.6 1 9.8 13.3 6.7 2.5 2 8.2 8.9 4.9 3 4.1 4.5 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Aoiz down, Avance Ezcabarte across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsAVA 1–3 AOI · AOI 1–3 AVA

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

AOIZ

LDWDDW1–4 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

AVANCE EZCABARTE

LWDDLW1–2 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Izarra5+1615
2Beti Kozkor6+413
3Gazte Berriak6+413
4Mutilvera5+611
5Aoiz5+39
6Avance Ezcabarte5+68
7Subiza5+37
8San Juan5+27
9Doneztebe FT6+36
10Valle Egüés6−16
11Txantrea6−56
12Beti Onak6−35
13Cortes6−65
14Pamplona5−14
15Huarte6−34
16Bidezarra5−63
17Cantolagua5−123
18Cirbonero5−102

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.