Villafranca v CD Zafra

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Villafranca win at 49%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Villafranca 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–27–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Villafranca v CD Zafra
4. 30′Villafranca find the net on 30′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
5. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Villafranca 1–0 CD Zafra
6. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 76% now
7. 31′We said Villafranca at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
8. 32′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
9. 33′A goal for Villafranca on 33′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–1
10. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Villafranca 2–0 CD Zafra
11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
12. 34′We said Villafranca at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–1
13. 43′We said Villafranca at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
14. 45′HALF-TIME Villafranca 2–0 CD Zafra
15. 46′A. Ladera scores for Villafranca on 32′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
16. 46′SECOND HALF Villafranca 2–0 CD Zafra
17. 48′CD Zafra score on 48′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–5
18. 48′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 78–17–5
19. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Villafranca 2–1 CD Zafra
20. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
21. 51′CD Zafra find the net on 51′. 2–2. 2–2 · 36–43–21
22. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Villafranca 2–2 CD Zafra
23. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 36% now
24. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Villafranca win 79%)
25. 52′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 2–2 · 35–44–21
26. 53′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 35–45–21
27. 55′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–46–20
28. 63′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–53–18
29. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
30. 70′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–61–15
31. 76′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–12
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
33. 80′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–9
34. 84′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
35. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Villafranca win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
36. 91′We said Villafranca at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
37. FTFULL TIME Villafranca 2–2 CD Zafra
38. FTVillafranca 2–2 CD Zafra · Villafranca win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.