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Santa Amalia v Villafranca
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · FRI 9 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Villafranca win at 36%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Santa Amalia v Villafranca
- 2′Much as we predicted: Villafranca was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 35–29–36
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Santa Amalia 0–1 Villafranca
- 18′A goal for Villafranca on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–22–66
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Villafranca win: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
- 22′We published Villafranca at 36%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 11–22–67
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 32′28′ and it is 0–2: Villafranca have scored. 0–2 · 2–7–90
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Villafranca win: 36% at kick-off, 90% now
- 37′We published Villafranca at 36%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 45′HALF-TIME Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 46′SECOND HALF Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 13' Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 28' Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 13' Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 28' Santa Amalia 0–2 Villafranca
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Santa Amalia 1–2 Villafranca
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Santa Amalia 1–3 Villafranca
- FTSanta Amalia 1–3 Villafranca · Villafranca win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 19:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Villafranca a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Amalia win | 35% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Villafranca win | 36% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| Santa Amalia or draw | 64% | – | – |
| Santa Amalia clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Villafranca clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
SANTA AMALIA
VILLAFRANCA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 5 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 |  Moralo | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 |  Llerenense | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Puebla Calzada | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 |  Gévora | 5 | −1 | 8 |
| 7 |  CD Zafra | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Villanovense | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Montijo | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Cabeza Buey | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Jerez | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Quintana | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | −3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | −5 | 3 |
| 17 |  Plasencia | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 5 | −9 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.