Atlético Pueblonuevo v Plasencia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atlético Pueblonuevo win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atlético Pueblonuevo was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–28–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atlético Pueblonuevo v Plasencia
4. 36′Atlético Pueblonuevo score on 36′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–17–6
5. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Atlético Pueblonuevo 1–0 Plasencia
6. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
7. 37′We published Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
8. 38′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
9. 45′35′: M. Doncel on the scoresheet for Atlético Pueblonuevo, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
10. 45′HALF-TIME Atlético Pueblonuevo 1–0 Plasencia
11. 46′SECOND HALF Atlético Pueblonuevo 1–0 Plasencia
12. 49′Atlético Pueblonuevo find the net on 49′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
13. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Atlético Pueblonuevo 2–0 Plasencia
14. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 96% now
15. 50′We published Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
17. 67′A goal for Plasencia on 67′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
18. 67′We published Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. Our model now makes it 84%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
19. 67′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 84–14–2
20. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Atlético Pueblonuevo 2–1 Plasencia
21. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 84% now
22. 69′We published Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
23. 72′Plasencia score on 72′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 21–65–14
24. 72′We said Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 2–2 · 21–65–14
25. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Atlético Pueblonuevo 2–2 Plasencia
26. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
27. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Atlético Pueblonuevo win 21%)
28. 73′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 21–66–13
29. 73′Plasencia find the net on 73′. 2–3. 2–3 · 3–18–79
30. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Atlético Pueblonuevo 2–3 Plasencia
31. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Atlético Pueblonuevo win: 47% at kick-off, 3% now
32. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Plasencia win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
33. 74′We said Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–3 · 3–17–80
34. 74′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 3–17–80
35. 88′A goal for Atlético Pueblonuevo on 88′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 6–90–4
36. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Atlético Pueblonuevo 3–3 Plasencia
37. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Plasencia win 4%)
38. 89′We said Atlético Pueblonuevo at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–3 · 5–91–4
39. 89′6 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 5–91–4
40. 96′Plasencia score on 90′ to make it 3–4. 3–4 · 0–2–98
41. 96′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 0–2–98
42. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Atlético Pueblonuevo 3–4 Plasencia
43. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Plasencia win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
44. FTFULL TIME Atlético Pueblonuevo 3–4 Plasencia
45. FTAtlético Pueblonuevo 3–4 Plasencia · Atlético Pueblonuevo win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.