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Santomera v Balsicas Atlético

Santomera
3–0Full time
Balsicas Atlético

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08
Santomera 3–0 Balsicas Atlético SANTOMERA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Santomera win52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.341

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Santomera win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Santomera was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Santomera v Balsicas Atlético
  4. 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Santomera 1–0 Balsicas Atlético
  5. 11′A goal for Santomera on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Santomera win: 52% at kick-off, 75% now
  7. 22′We published Santomera at 52%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 76–16–8
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Santomera 1–0 Balsicas Atlético
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Santomera 1–0 Balsicas Atlético
  11. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Santomera 2–0 Balsicas Atlético
  12. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Santomera 3–0 Balsicas Atlético
  13. FTFULL TIME Santomera 3–0 Balsicas Atlético
  14. FTSantomera 3–0 Balsicas Atlético · Santomera win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Santomera win52%
Draw23%
Balsicas Atlético win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santomera winPublished 10 Oct 10:08
52% The market–
Us52%

We make Santomera a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Santomera win52%––
Draw23%––
Balsicas Atlético win25%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Santomera or draw75%––
Santomera clean sheet29%––
Balsicas Atlético clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.8 4.9 3.3 1 7.6 10.3 6.2 2.6 2 7.6 9.3 5.8 2.5 3 4.9 6.0 3.8 4 2.4 3.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Santomera down, Balsicas Atlético across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsBAL 2–1 SAN · SAN 0–1 BAL · BAL 1–4 SAN · SAN 3–2 BAL

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SANTOMERA

LWDWWW1–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–2

BALSICAS ATLÉTICO

WWLLLW4–0 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Santomera5+513
2San Javier5+311
3Alcantarilla5+39
4Unión Molinense5+28
5Atlético Pulpileño5+28
6Olímpico Totana5+18
7SFC Minerva5+18
8Cotillas CD5−17
9Santa Cruz506
10UCAM Murcia II5+25
11Bullas Deportivo4+25
12Águilas II505
13Bala Azul5−15
14Los Garres5−15
15Cartagena LU II5−25
16Balsicas Atlético4−53
17Algar5−73
18Mazarrón FC5−41

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.