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Santa Cruz v Cotillas CD

Santa Cruz
1–0Full time
Cotillas CD

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Santa Cruz 1–0 Cotillas CD SANTA CRUZ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Santa Cruz win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.412

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Santa Cruz win at 48%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Santa Cruz 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Santa Cruz v Cotillas CD
  4. 42′PENALTY MISSED · 41' Santa Cruz
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Santa Cruz 0–0 Cotillas CD
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Santa Cruz 0–0 Cotillas CD
  7. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Santa Cruz 1–0 Cotillas CD
  8. FTFULL TIME Santa Cruz 1–0 Cotillas CD
  9. FTSanta Cruz 1–0 Cotillas CD · Santa Cruz win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Santa Cruz win48%
Draw26%
Cotillas CD win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santa cruz winPublished 10 Oct 15:43
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Santa Cruz a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Santa Cruz win48%––
Draw26%––
Cotillas CD win26%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Santa Cruz or draw74%––
Santa Cruz clean sheet35%––
Cotillas CD clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 8.1 7.4 4.3 1 10.6 12.2 6.3 2.3 2 8.5 8.9 4.8 3 4.5 4.7 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Santa Cruz down, Cotillas CD across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SANTA CRUZ

WLWDDD1–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

COTILLAS CD

WDLLW2–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Santomera5+513
2San Javier5+311
3Alcantarilla5+39
4Unión Molinense5+28
5Atlético Pulpileño5+28
6Olímpico Totana5+18
7SFC Minerva5+18
8Cotillas CD5−17
9Santa Cruz506
10UCAM Murcia II5+25
11Bullas Deportivo4+25
12Águilas II505
13Bala Azul5−15
14Los Garres5−15
15Cartagena LU II5−25
16Balsicas Atlético4−53
17Algar5−73
18Mazarrón FC5−41

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.