San Javier v Bullas Deportivo prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

San Javier are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Javier 55%, draw 24%, Bullas Deportivo 21%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on San Javier v Bullas DeportivoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

San Javier win55%

Draw24%

Bullas Deportivo win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 13 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Javier

Bullas Deportivo

7Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last match: 14 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	San Javier	6	+6	14
16	Bullas Deportivo	6	−2	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san javier winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:58 · postponed, not graded

55% The market–

Us55%

We make San Javier a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · San Javier v Bullas Deportivo~~1.83 – 1.01

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 5~~2 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · San Javier win

Published at 51%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Javier win	55%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bullas Deportivo win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
San Javier or draw	79%	–	–
San Javier clean sheet	37%	–	–
Bullas Deportivo clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.9 5.8 3.1 1 10.4 11.0 5.3 2 9.6 9.3 4.7 3 5.8 5.7 2.8 4 2.8 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Javier down, Bullas Deportivo across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,524 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.9% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

San Javier at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 3). Bullas Deportivo away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for San Javier, 1.01 for Bullas Deportivo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 6 Sept

SAN JAVIER

WDWDWW3–2 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

BULLAS DEPORTIVO

DWDLLL1–1 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Santomera	6	+8	16
2	San Javier	6	+6	14
3	Unión Molinense	6	+5	11
4	Santa Cruz	6	+1	9
5	Alcantarilla	6	0	9
6	UCAM Murcia II	6	+6	8
7	Águilas II	6	+2	8
8	Atlético Pulpileño	6	+1	8
9	Bala Azul	6	0	8
10	Olímpico Totana	6	0	8
11	Los Garres	6	0	8
12	Cartagena LU II	6	−1	8
13	SFC Minerva	6	−1	8
14	Cotillas CD	6	−2	7
15	Balsicas Atlético	6	−5	6
16	Bullas Deportivo	6	−2	5
17	Algar	6	−10	3
18	Mazarrón FC	6	−8	1