Olímpico Totana v Algar prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Olímpico Totana are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olímpico Totana 70%, draw 19%, Algar 11%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Olímpico Totana v AlgarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Olímpico Totana win70%

Draw19%

Algar win11%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:30

RoundGroup 13 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olímpico Totana

Algar

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Olímpico Totana	6	0	8
17	Algar	6	−10	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olímpico totana winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Olímpico Totana a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olímpico Totana v Algar~~2.17 – 0.66

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 8 v 3~~10 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olímpico Totana win	70%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Algar win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Olímpico Totana or draw	89%	–	–
Olímpico Totana clean sheet	53%	–	–
Algar clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.3%

0123450 7.0 4.0 1 12.7 8.8 2.9 2 13.3 8.5 2.9 3 9.5 5.9 4 5.4 3.3 5 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Olímpico Totana down, Algar across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,524 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.9% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Olímpico Totana at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Algar away: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Olímpico Totana, 0.66 for Algar. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 5 Sept

OLÍMPICO TOTANA

DLWDWL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

ALGAR

LLLLWL0–2 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Santomera	6	+8	16
2	San Javier	6	+6	14
3	Unión Molinense	6	+5	11
4	Santa Cruz	6	+1	9
5	Alcantarilla	6	0	9
6	UCAM Murcia II	6	+6	8
7	Águilas II	6	+2	8
8	Atlético Pulpileño	6	+1	8
9	Bala Azul	6	0	8
10	Olímpico Totana	6	0	8
11	Los Garres	6	0	8
12	Cartagena LU II	6	−1	8
13	SFC Minerva	6	−1	8
14	Cotillas CD	6	−2	7
15	Balsicas Atlético	6	−5	6
16	Bullas Deportivo	6	−2	5
17	Algar	6	−10	3
18	Mazarrón FC	6	−8	1