Bullas Deportivo v Olímpico Totana prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bullas DeportivoDrawOlímpico Totana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Olímpico Totana 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olímpico Totana are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bullas Deportivo 29%, draw 28%, Olímpico Totana 43%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Bullas Deportivo v Olímpico TotanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bullas Deportivo win29%

Draw28%

Olímpico Totana win43%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 13 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bullas Deportivo

Olímpico Totana

11Days since last match14

Last match: 14 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Olímpico Totana	6	0	8
16	Bullas Deportivo	6	−2	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olímpico totana winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Olímpico Totana a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bullas Deportivo v Olímpico Totana~~1.07 – 1.36

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 8~~16 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bullas Deportivo win	29%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Olímpico Totana win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Bullas Deportivo or draw	57%	–	–
Bullas Deportivo clean sheet	27%	–	–
Olímpico Totana clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.8 11.5 8.1 3.7 1 9.1 12.9 8.3 3.8 2 5.1 6.6 4.4 2.0 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bullas Deportivo down, Olímpico Totana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,529 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.9% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bullas Deportivo at home: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 3). Olímpico Totana away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for Bullas Deportivo, 1.36 for Olímpico Totana. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 this season · since 6 Sept

BULLAS DEPORTIVO

DWDLLL1–1 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 1–4

OLÍMPICO TOTANA

DLWDWL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Santomera	6	+8	16
2	San Javier	6	+6	14
3	Santa Cruz	7	+2	12
4	UCAM Murcia II	7	+7	11
5	Unión Molinense	6	+5	11
6	Alcantarilla	7	−1	9
7	Águilas II	6	+2	8
8	Atlético Pulpileño	7	0	8
9	Bala Azul	6	0	8
10	Olímpico Totana	6	0	8
11	Los Garres	6	0	8
12	Cartagena LU II	6	−1	8
13	SFC Minerva	6	−1	8
14	Cotillas CD	6	−2	7
15	Balsicas Atlético	6	−5	6
16	Bullas Deportivo	6	−2	5
17	Algar	6	−10	3
18	Mazarrón FC	6	−8	1