UD San Fernando v Real Unión de Tenerife

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said UD San Fernando win at 61%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: UD San Fernando was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–26–13
3. 1′KICK-OFF UD San Fernando v Real Unión de Tenerife
4. 11′UD San Fernando find the net on 11′. 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' UD San Fernando 1–0 Real Unión de Tenerife
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 87% now
7. 12′We published UD San Fernando at 61%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
8. 21′A goal for Real Unión de Tenerife on 21′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 55–32–13
9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' UD San Fernando 1–1 Real Unión de Tenerife
10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 55% now
11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
12. 36′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–38–13
13. 42′UD San Fernando score on 42′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–2
14. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' UD San Fernando 2–1 Real Unión de Tenerife
15. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 88% now
16. 43′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–2
17. 45′HALF-TIME UD San Fernando 2–1 Real Unión de Tenerife
18. 46′43′: A. Frieh on the scoresheet for UD San Fernando, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–10–2
19. 46′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–44–12
20. 46′SECOND HALF UD San Fernando 2–1 Real Unión de Tenerife
21. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 44% now
22. 59′Real Unión de Tenerife find the net on 58′. 2–2. 2–2 · 36–54–11
23. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' UD San Fernando 2–2 Real Unión de Tenerife
24. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 36% now
25. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was UD San Fernando win 89%)
26. 60′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 2–2 · 35–55–10
27. 61′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–55–10
28. 62′4 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 34–56–10
29. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
30. 67′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–62–9
31. 72′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–68–8
32. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
33. 77′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–75–6
34. 81′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–82–5
35. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' UD San Fernando win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
36. 85′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–88–3
37. 91′We said UD San Fernando at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–1
38. FTFULL TIME UD San Fernando 2–2 Real Unión de Tenerife
39. FTUD San Fernando 3–2 Real Unión de Tenerife · UD San Fernando win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.