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San Bartolomé v Tenerife C
San Bartolomé
Tenerife CTercera División RFEF - Group 12 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said San Bartolomé win at 47%.
- 20′A goal for Tenerife C on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–56
- 21′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–24–57
- 23′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
- 28′Tenerife C score on 28′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' San Bartolomé win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
- 29′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–82
- 37′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
- 45′HALF-TIME San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
- 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–2 · 2–8–90
- 52′SECOND HALF San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
- 82′Tenerife C find the net on 82′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' San Bartolomé 0–3 Tenerife C
- 89′San Bartolomé score on 88′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–94
- 89′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–6–94
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' San Bartolomé 2–3 Tenerife C
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' San Bartolomé 2–3 Tenerife C
- FTFULL TIME San Bartolomé 2–4 Tenerife C
- FTSan Bartolomé 2–4 Tenerife C · San Bartolomé win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSan Bartolomé are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: San Bartolomé 47%, draw 25%, Tenerife C 28%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
San Bartolomé win47%
Tenerife C win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundGroup 12 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
San BartoloméMIN
Tenerife CEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
San Bartolomé
Tenerife C
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make San Bartolomé a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 46%, 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé win | 47% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Tenerife C win | 28% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – | – |
| San Bartolomé or draw | 72% | – | – |
| San Bartolomé clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Tenerife C clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 this season · since 11 Sept
SAN BARTOLOMÉ
TENERIFE C
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panadería Pulido | 6 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | UD San Fernando | 5 | +10 | 12 |
| 4 | Los Llanos | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | San Bartolomé | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Las Palmas III | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Marino | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 10 | Tenerife C | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 6 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anaza | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 6 | −6 | 2 |
| 17 | Playas Sotavento | 6 | −15 | 2 |
| 18 | Villaverde Norte | 5 | −8 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Panadería Pulido
Real Unión de Tenerife
UD San Fernando
Los Llanos
San Miguel
Mensajero
Las Palmas III
Marino
Unión Sur Yaiza
Estrella
Villa Santa Brígida
Lanzarote
Anaza
Laguna de Duero
Playas Sotavento
Villaverde Norte