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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 › San Bartolomé v Tenerife C

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San Bartolomé v Tenerife C

San Bartolomé
2–4Full time
Tenerife C

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:40
San Bartolomé 2–4 Tenerife C SAN BARTOLOMÉ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Bartolomé win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.800

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Bartolomé win at 47%.
  2. 20′A goal for Tenerife C on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–56
  3. 21′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–24–57
  4. 23′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
  5. 28′Tenerife C score on 28′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
  7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' San Bartolomé win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
  8. 29′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  9. 37′We said San Bartolomé at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
  10. 45′HALF-TIME San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
  11. 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–2 · 2–8–90
  12. 52′SECOND HALF San Bartolomé 0–2 Tenerife C
  13. 82′Tenerife C find the net on 82′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  14. 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  15. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' San Bartolomé 0–3 Tenerife C
  16. 89′San Bartolomé score on 88′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–94
  17. 89′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–6–94
  18. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' San Bartolomé 2–3 Tenerife C
  19. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' San Bartolomé 2–3 Tenerife C
  20. FTFULL TIME San Bartolomé 2–4 Tenerife C
  21. FTSan Bartolomé 2–4 Tenerife C · San Bartolomé win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Bartolomé are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Bartolomé 47%, draw 25%, Tenerife C 28%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on San Bartolomé v Tenerife CBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

San Bartolomé win47%
Draw25%
Tenerife C win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup 12 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Bartolomé

Tenerife C

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7San Bartolomé5+39
10Tenerife C5+17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san bartolomé winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make San Bartolomé a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Bartolomé v Tenerife C1.63 – 1.21
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 this season · since 11 SeptW2 D3 L0 · W2 D1 L2
Table places · points 9 v 77 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 16:06
Our probability · San Bartolomé win

Published at 46%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Bartolomé win47%––
Draw25%––
Tenerife C win28%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
San Bartolomé or draw72%––
San Bartolomé clean sheet30%––
Tenerife C clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 6.7 6.6 4.3 1 9.1 11.9 6.8 2.8 2 7.7 9.1 5.5 2.2 3 4.2 5.0 3.0 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+San Bartolomé down, Tenerife C across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsTEN 0–1 SAN · SAN 1–3 TEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 this season · since 11 Sept

SAN BARTOLOMÉ

WWDDD1–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

TENERIFE C

LDWLW0–1 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Panadería Pulido6+613
2Real Unión de Tenerife6+513
3UD San Fernando5+1012
4Los Llanos6+310
5San Miguel6+210
6Mensajero5+210
7San Bartolomé5+39
8Las Palmas III5+38
9Marino5+57
10Tenerife C5+17
11Unión Sur Yaiza6−17
12Estrella5−27
13Villa Santa Brígida506
14Lanzarote6−36
15Anaza5−54
16Laguna de Duero6−62
17Playas Sotavento6−152
18Villaverde Norte5−81

The competition's standings before kick-off.