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Playas Sotavento v Real Unión de Tenerife

Playas Sotavento

0–3Full time

Real Unión de Tenerife

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Playas Sotavento 0–3 Real Unión de Tenerife REAL UNIÓN DE TENERIFE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Real Unión de Tenerife win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.571

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Playas Sotavento win33%

Draw29%

Real Unión de Tenerife win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real unión de tenerife winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Real Unión de Tenerife a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Playas Sotavento win	33%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Real Unión de Tenerife win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Playas Sotavento or draw	62%	–	–
Playas Sotavento clean sheet	29%	–	–
Real Unión de Tenerife clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 10.4 10.9 7.2 3.1 1 9.8 13.4 7.9 3.4 2 5.9 7.2 4.4 3 2.3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Playas Sotavento down, Real Unión de Tenerife across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,474 Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.4% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Playas Sotavento at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 2). Real Unión de Tenerife away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Playas Sotavento, 1.25 for Real Unión de Tenerife. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

PLAYAS SOTAVENTO

LLDL0–2 · 0–5 · 2–2 · 1–6

REAL UNIÓN DE TENERIFE

LDWLWW0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	San Miguel	5	+5	10
2	UD San Fernando	4	+9	9
3	Real Unión de Tenerife	4	+2	9
4	Mensajero	4	+2	9
5	Las Palmas III	5	+3	8
6	San Bartolomé	4	+3	8
7	Marino	4	+6	7
8	Panadería Pulido	4	+2	7
9	Los Llanos	4	+1	7
10	Lanzarote	4	+1	6
11	Villa Santa Brígida	5	0	6
12	Tenerife C	4	−2	4
13	Estrella	4	−3	4
14	Anaza	5	−5	4
15	Unión Sur Yaiza	4	−2	3
16	Laguna de Duero	4	−5	1
17	Villaverde Norte	4	−5	1
18	Playas Sotavento	4	−12	1