Playas Sotavento v Panadería Pulido

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Panadería Pulido win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Panadería Pulido was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 25–23–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Playas Sotavento v Panadería Pulido
4. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Playas Sotavento 0–0 Panadería Pulido
6. 46′SECOND HALF Playas Sotavento 0–0 Panadería Pulido
7. 49′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 23–37–40
8. 51′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 22–39–39
9. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 21–41–37
10. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Panadería Pulido win 40%)
11. 61′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 20–46–34
12. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
13. 68′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 18–53–29
14. 74′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 15–62–24
15. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
16. 78′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 12–69–19
17. 80′A goal for Panadería Pulido on 80′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 1–10–89
18. 80′We published Panadería Pulido at 52%. Our model now makes it 89%. 0–1 · 1–10–89
19. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Playas Sotavento 0–1 Panadería Pulido
20. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 89% now
21. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Panadería Pulido win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 73%)
22. 81′We published Panadería Pulido at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
23. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
24. 87′We published Panadería Pulido at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
25. 88′Playas Sotavento score on 88′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 5–87–8
26. 88′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 5–87–8
27. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Playas Sotavento 1–1 Panadería Pulido
28. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Panadería Pulido win: 52% at kick-off, 8% now
29. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Panadería Pulido win 95%)
30. 92′We said Panadería Pulido at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
31. FTFULL TIME Playas Sotavento 1–1 Panadería Pulido
32. FTPlayas Sotavento 1–1 Panadería Pulido · Panadería Pulido win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.