Los Llanos v Lanzarote

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lanzarote win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Lanzarote was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 29–31–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Los Llanos v Lanzarote
4. 25′A goal for Los Llanos on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–23–13
5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Los Llanos 1–0 Lanzarote
6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Lanzarote win: 40% at kick-off, 13% now
7. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Los Llanos win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Lanzarote win 13%)
8. 26′We said Lanzarote at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 64–23–12
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 65–23–12
10. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Lanzarote win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
11. 39′We said Lanzarote at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–23–9
12. 45′HALF-TIME Los Llanos 1–0 Lanzarote
13. 46′Los Llanos score on 46′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–1
14. 46′We said Lanzarote at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 92–6–1
15. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Los Llanos 2–0 Lanzarote
16. 46′SECOND HALF Los Llanos 2–0 Lanzarote
17. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Lanzarote win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
18. 91′Los Llanos find the net on 90′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
19. 91′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
20. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Los Llanos 3–0 Lanzarote
21. FTFULL TIME Los Llanos 3–0 Lanzarote
22. FTLos Llanos 3–0 Lanzarote · Lanzarote win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.