Las Palmas III v Mensajero

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Las Palmas III win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Las Palmas III 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Las Palmas III v Mensajero
4. 5′Las Palmas III find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–10
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Las Palmas III 1–0 Mensajero
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 75% now
7. 6′We said Las Palmas III at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–10
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
9. 45′HALF-TIME Las Palmas III 1–0 Mensajero
10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
11. 46′SECOND HALF Las Palmas III 1–0 Mensajero
12. 56′We said Las Palmas III at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
13. 66′A goal for Mensajero on 66′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–56–17
14. 66′We said Las Palmas III at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–56–17
15. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Las Palmas III 1–1 Mensajero
16. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 27% now
17. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Las Palmas III win 27%)
18. 70′We said Las Palmas III at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
19. 76′Las Palmas III score on 76′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
20. 76′We said Las Palmas III at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
21. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Las Palmas III 2–1 Mensajero
22. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
23. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Las Palmas III win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
24. 77′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–1
25. 79′We said Las Palmas III at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
26. 81′Mensajero find the net on 81′. 2–2. 2–2 · 13–78–9
27. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Las Palmas III 2–2 Mensajero
28. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 13% now
29. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Las Palmas III win 13%)
30. 82′We said Las Palmas III at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–80–8
31. 83′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 11–82–7
32. 84′We said Las Palmas III at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
33. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Las Palmas III win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 91′We said Las Palmas III at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
35. FTFULL TIME Las Palmas III 2–2 Mensajero
36. FTLas Palmas III 2–2 Mensajero · Las Palmas III win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.