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Laguna de Duero v Playas Sotavento
Laguna de Duero
Playas SotaventoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Laguna de Duero win at 63%.
- 1′Laguna de Duero score on 1′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–7
- 1′KICK-OFF Laguna de Duero v Playas Sotavento
- 2′We published Laguna de Duero at 63%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–11–7
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 82–13–6
- 30′Playas Sotavento find the net on 30′. 1–1. 1–1 · 56–26–18
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Laguna de Duero 1–1 Playas Sotavento
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 56% now
- 31′Much as we predicted: Laguna de Duero was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 1–1 · 55–26–18
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
- 45′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 1–1 · 50–32–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Laguna de Duero 1–1 Playas Sotavento
- 46′SECOND HALF Laguna de Duero 1–1 Playas Sotavento
- 54′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 45–37–17
- 56′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
- 63′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–45–16
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Laguna de Duero win 39%)
- 69′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–52–14
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
- 74′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–12
- 78′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–66–10
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
- 81′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–9
- 84′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–80–6
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
- 88′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
- 93′We said Laguna de Duero at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–2
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Laguna de Duero win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Laguna de Duero 1–1 Playas Sotavento
- FTLaguna de Duero 1–1 Playas Sotavento · Laguna de Duero win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassLaguna de Duero are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Laguna de Duero 63%, draw 20%, Playas Sotavento 17%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Laguna de Duero win63%
Playas Sotavento win17%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundGroup 12 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Laguna de DueroMIN
Playas SotaventoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Laguna de Duero
Playas Sotavento
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Laguna de Duero a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laguna de Duero win | 63% | – | – |
| Draw | 20% | – | – |
| Playas Sotavento win | 17% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Laguna de Duero or draw | 83% | – | – |
| Laguna de Duero clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Playas Sotavento clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 this season · since 12 Sept
LAGUNA DE DUERO
PLAYAS SOTAVENTO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 5 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Panadería Pulido | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | San Bartolomé | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Las Palmas III | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Marino | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 | Tenerife C | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Estrella | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 5 | −1 | 6 |
| 15 | Anaza | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 5 | −6 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 5 | −8 | 1 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 5 | −15 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
UD San Fernando
Real Unión de Tenerife
San Miguel
Panadería Pulido
Mensajero
San Bartolomé
Las Palmas III
Marino
Tenerife C
Los Llanos
Estrella
Lanzarote
Villa Santa Brígida
Unión Sur Yaiza
Anaza
Villaverde Norte