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Sineu v Platges Calvià

Sineu

0–2Full time

Platges Calvià

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:46

Sineu 0–2 Platges Calvià PLATGES CALVIÀ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Platges Calvià win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.410

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sineu win28%

Draw25%

Platges Calvià win48%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · platges calvià winPublished 10 Oct 20:35

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Platges Calvià a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sineu win	28%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Platges Calvià win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Sineu or draw	52%	–	–
Sineu clean sheet	21%	–	–
Platges Calvià clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 7.1 10.5 8.2 4.5 1 7.6 11.5 8.8 4.7 2 4.3 6.5 5.0 2.6 3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sineu down, Platges Calvià across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,629 Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sineu at home: 1.50 scored, 4.00 conceded a game (last 2). Platges Calvià away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Sineu, 1.60 for Platges Calvià. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

SINEU

LLLLL0–2 · 2–4 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–3

PLATGES CALVIÀ

LLLWWW1–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manacor	5	+10	15
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	5	+6	13
3	Cardassar	5	+6	10
4	Constància	5	+6	10
5	Llosetense	5	+5	10
6	Platges Calvià	5	+4	9
7	Santanyí	5	+2	9
8	Porreres	5	+1	9
9	Formentera	5	+3	8
10	PE Sant Jordi	5	0	8
11	Alcúdia	5	−1	6
12	Mercadal	5	−1	5
13	Andratx	5	−2	5
14	Binissalem	5	−4	3
15	Arenal	5	−6	3
16	Migjorn	5	−8	3
17	Inter Ibiza	5	−10	1
18	Sineu	5	−11	0