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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 › Santanyí v Llosetense

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Santanyí v Llosetense

Santanyí
3–0Full time
Llosetense

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41
Santanyí 3–0 Llosetense SANTANYÍ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Santanyí win37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.596

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

SantanyíDrawLlosetense
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Santanyí 3–0 Llosetense

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Santanyí

Llosetense

7Days since last match8
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Llosetense5+510
8Santanyí5+29

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Santanyí win37%
Draw26%
Llosetense win36%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santanyí winPublished 11 Oct 13:43
37% The market–
Us37%

We make Santanyí a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Santanyí win37%––
Draw26%––
Llosetense win36%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Santanyí or draw64%––
Santanyí clean sheet28%––
Llosetense clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 7.7 9.6 6.2 2.7 1 9.8 12.4 7.9 3.4 2 6.4 8.0 5.1 2.2 3 2.8 3.5 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Santanyí down, Llosetense across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsSAN 3–2 LLO · LLO 0–0 SAN · SAN 2–0 LLO · LLO 0–0 SAN

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

SANTANYÍ

LDDWDW1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

LLOSETENSE

LWLDWW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ibiza Islas Pitiusas6+916
2Manacor5+1015
3Constància6+713
4Platges Calvià6+612
5PE Sant Jordi6+311
6Cardassar5+610
7Llosetense5+510
8Santanyí5+29
9Alcúdia609
10Porreres609
11Formentera5+38
12Binissalem6−36
13Mercadal6−25
14Andratx6−35
15Migjorn5−83
16Arenal6−93
17Inter Ibiza6−131
18Sineu6−130

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 12:43 UTC.