Manacor v Inter Ibiza prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Manacor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Manacor 71%, draw 17%, Inter Ibiza 12%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Manacor v Inter IbizaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Manacor win71%

Draw17%

Inter Ibiza win12%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundGroup 11 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Manacor

Inter Ibiza

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Manacor	6	+9	15
17	Inter Ibiza	6	−13	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · manacor winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:12 · postponed, not graded

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Manacor a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Manacor v Inter Ibiza~~2.41 – 0.87

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 15 v 1~~2 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Manacor win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Manacor win	71%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Inter Ibiza win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Manacor or draw	88%	–	–
Manacor clean sheet	42%	–	–
Inter Ibiza clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.8%

0123450 4.0 3.4 1 9.2 8.0 3.5 2 10.8 9.3 4.0 3 8.6 7.3 3.2 4 5.2 4.5 5 2.6 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Manacor down, Inter Ibiza across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,638 Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.3% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Manacor at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Ibiza away: 0.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.41 goals for Manacor, 0.87 for Inter Ibiza. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~INT 3–1 MAN · MAN 4–1 INT · INT 1–2 MAN · MAN 3–1 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 this season · since 5 Sept

MANACOR

WWWWWL2–1 · 2–1 · 5–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

INTER IBIZA

LLLLDL0–5 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	6	+9	16
2	Manacor	6	+9	15
3	Cardassar	6	+7	13
4	Constància	6	+7	13
5	Platges Calvià	6	+6	12
6	Santanyí	6	+5	12
7	Formentera	6	+4	11
8	PE Sant Jordi	6	+3	11
9	Llosetense	6	+2	10
10	Alcúdia	6	0	9
11	Porreres	6	0	9
12	Binissalem	6	−3	6
13	Mercadal	6	−2	5
14	Andratx	6	−3	5
15	Migjorn	6	−9	3
16	Arenal	6	−9	3
17	Inter Ibiza	6	−13	1
18	Sineu	6	−13	0