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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 › Formentera v Platges Calvià

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Formentera v Platges Calvià

Formentera
2–3Full time
Platges Calvià

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Formentera 2–3 Platges Calvià FORMENTERA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Formentera win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.942

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Formentera win at 51%.
  2. 46′Platges Calvià find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–43–19
  3. 46′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–43–19
  4. 46′Platges Calvià find the net on 90′. 2–3. 2–3 · 12–26–62
  5. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 38% now
  6. 46′⚽ GOAL · 90+25' Formentera 2–3 Platges Calvià
  7. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 12% now
  8. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Platges Calvià win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 43%)
  9. 63′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
  10. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 29% now
  11. 64′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 28–57–15
  12. 69′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–13
  13. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  14. 75′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
  15. 80′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–8
  16. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
  17. 84′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
  18. 91′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
  19. FTFULL TIME Formentera 2–3 Platges Calvià
  20. FTFormentera 2–3 Platges Calvià · Formentera win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Formentera are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Formentera 51%, draw 27%, Platges Calvià 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Formentera v Platges CalviàBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Formentera win51%
Draw27%
Platges Calvià win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundGroup 11 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Formentera

Platges Calvià

13Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Platges Calvià7+715
7Formentera6+411

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · formentera winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Formentera a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Formentera v Platges Calvià1.45 – 0.85
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 this season · since 5 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 11 v 157 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Formentera win51%––
Draw27%––
Platges Calvià win22%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Formentera or draw78%––
Formentera clean sheet43%––
Platges Calvià clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.5%
0123450 10.3 8.5 3.6 1 14.5 12.2 5.2 2 10.5 8.8 3.7 3 5.1 4.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Formentera down, Platges Calvià across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsPLA 0–2 FOR · FOR 2–2 PLA · FOR 3–0 PLA · PLA 0–1 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 this season · since 5 Sept

FORMENTERA

DWDWLW1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 2–1

PLATGES CALVIÀ

LWWWWW1–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Constància7+1016
2Manacor7+916
3Ibiza Islas Pitiusas6+916
4Platges Calvià7+715
5Cardassar7+613
6Santanyí6+512
7Formentera6+411
8PE Sant Jordi6+311
9Llosetense7−110
10Alcúdia609
11Porreres609
12Mercadal7−18
13Binissalem6−36
14Andratx7−45
15Arenal7−94
16Migjorn7−94
17Sineu7−131
18Inter Ibiza6−131

The competition's standings before kick-off.