Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 › Formentera v Platges Calvià
Back

Formentera v Platges Calvià
Formentera
Platges CalviàTercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Formentera win at 51%.
- 46′Platges Calvià find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–43–19
- 46′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–43–19
- 46′Platges Calvià find the net on 90′. 2–3. 2–3 · 12–26–62
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 38% now
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 90+25' Formentera 2–3 Platges Calvià
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 12% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Platges Calvià win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 43%)
- 63′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 29% now
- 64′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 28–57–15
- 69′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–13
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 75′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
- 80′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–8
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Formentera win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 84′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 91′We said Formentera at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Formentera 2–3 Platges Calvià
- FTFormentera 2–3 Platges Calvià · Formentera win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Formentera are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Formentera 51%, draw 27%, Platges Calvià 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Formentera win51%
Platges Calvià win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundGroup 11 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
FormenteraMIN
Platges CalviàEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Formentera
Platges Calvià
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Formentera a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Formentera win | 51% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Platges Calvià win | 22% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 43% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – | – |
| Formentera or draw | 78% | – | – |
| Formentera clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Platges Calvià clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 this season · since 5 Sept
FORMENTERA
PLATGES CALVIÀ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constància | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Manacor | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 | Platges Calvià | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Cardassar | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Formentera | 6 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | PE Sant Jordi | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Porreres | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 14 | Andratx | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 15 | Arenal | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 17 | Sineu | 7 | −13 | 1 |
| 18 | Inter Ibiza | 6 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Constància
Manacor
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Cardassar
Santanyí
PE Sant Jordi
Llosetense
Alcúdia
Porreres
Mercadal
Binissalem
Andratx
Arenal
Migjorn
Sineu
Inter Ibiza