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Constància v Porreres

Constància
1–0Full time
Porreres

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46
Constància 1–0 Porreres CONSTÀNCIA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Constància win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.290

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Constància win at 56%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Constància v Porreres
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Constància 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–19
  4. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Constància 1–0 Porreres
  5. 26′A goal for Constància on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–5
  6. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Constància win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  7. 45′We said Constància at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Constància 1–0 Porreres
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Constància 1–0 Porreres
  10. FTFULL TIME Constància 1–0 Porreres
  11. FTConstància 1–0 Porreres · Constància win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Constància win56%
Draw24%
Porreres win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · constància winPublished 10 Oct 11:13
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Constància a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Constància win56%––
Draw24%––
Porreres win20%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Constància or draw80%––
Constància clean sheet42%––
Porreres clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%
0123450 8.2 6.8 3.0 1 13.0 11.3 4.9 2 10.8 9.3 4.1 3 6.1 5.2 2.3 4 2.7 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Constància down, Porreres across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsCON 2–2 POR · POR 0–0 CON

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

CONSTÀNCIA

LWDLWW1–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–1

PORRERES

WWLWWL3–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Manacor5+1015
2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas5+613
3Cardassar5+610
4Constància5+610
5Llosetense5+510
6Platges Calvià5+49
7Santanyí5+29
8Porreres5+19
9Formentera5+38
10PE Sant Jordi508
11Alcúdia5−16
12Mercadal5−15
13Andratx5−25
14Binissalem5−43
15Arenal5−63
16Migjorn5−83
17Inter Ibiza5−101
18Sineu5−110

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.