Constància v PE Sant Jordi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Constància win at 70%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Constància 70% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 70–19–11
3. 1′KICK-OFF Constància v PE Sant Jordi
4. 13′A goal for Constància on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 88–9–3
5. 13′We said Constància at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–9–3
6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Constància 1–0 PE Sant Jordi
7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 88% now
8. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Constància 1–1 PE Sant Jordi
9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 62% now
10. 28′PE Sant Jordi score on 27′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 62–26–12
11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 60% now
12. 36′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 1–1 · 58–29–12
13. 44′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–33–12
14. 45′HALF-TIME Constància 1–1 PE Sant Jordi
15. 46′SECOND HALF Constància 1–1 PE Sant Jordi
16. 51′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 50–38–12
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 50% now
18. 52′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–39–12
19. 59′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–44–11
20. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Constància win 44%)
21. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
22. 65′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–51–10
23. 70′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–57–9
24. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 74′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–63–8
26. 78′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–70–7
27. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 20% now
28. 81′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–76–6
29. 83′PE Sant Jordi find the net on 83′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–13–85
30. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Constància 1–2 PE Sant Jordi
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' PE Sant Jordi win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 81%)
33. 84′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–12–87
34. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–12–87
35. 87′A goal for Constància on 87′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 10–87–3
36. 87′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 10–87–3
37. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Constància 2–2 PE Sant Jordi
38. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was PE Sant Jordi win 90%)
39. 88′We said Constància at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–88–3
40. 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 9–88–3
41. 95′Constància score on 90′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 99–1–0
42. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Constància 3–2 PE Sant Jordi
43. 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+5' Constància win: 70% at kick-off, 99% now
44. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Constància win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
45. 96′We said Constància at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–2 · 99–1–0
46. 96′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 99–1–0
47. FTFULL TIME Constància 3–2 PE Sant Jordi
48. FTConstància 2–2 PE Sant Jordi · Constància win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.