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Alcúdia v Mercadal

Alcúdia
1–0Full time
Mercadal

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Alcúdia 1–0 Mercadal ALCÚDIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Alcúdia win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.414

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Alcúdia win at 47%.
  2. 4′KICK-OFF Alcúdia v Mercadal
  3. 8′Much as we predicted: Alcúdia was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–26–28
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Alcúdia 0–0 Mercadal
  5. 47′SECOND HALF Alcúdia 0–0 Mercadal
  6. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Alcúdia 1–0 Mercadal
  7. FTFULL TIME Alcúdia 1–0 Mercadal
  8. FTAlcúdia 1–0 Mercadal · Alcúdia win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Alcúdia win47%
Draw25%
Mercadal win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · alcúdia winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Alcúdia a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Alcúdia win47%––
Draw25%––
Mercadal win28%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
Alcúdia or draw72%––
Alcúdia clean sheet31%––
Mercadal clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.4 7.2 4.3 1 9.9 11.6 6.7 2.7 2 8.0 9.2 5.4 2.1 3 4.3 5.0 2.9 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Alcúdia down, Mercadal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting1.33
Over 2.51 of 6
Both scored1 of 6
Last meetingsMER 3–2 ALC · ALC 0–1 MER · ALC 0–1 MER · MER 0–0 ALC

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

ALCÚDIA

LWWLLL2–3 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–6

MERCADAL

WDWLDL3–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Manacor5+1015
2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas5+613
3Cardassar5+610
4Constància5+610
5Llosetense5+510
6Platges Calvià5+49
7Santanyí5+29
8Porreres5+19
9Formentera5+38
10PE Sant Jordi508
11Alcúdia5−16
12Mercadal5−15
13Andratx5−25
14Binissalem5−43
15Arenal5−63
16Migjorn5−83
17Inter Ibiza5−101
18Sineu5−110

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.