Utrera v Córdoba II prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Utrera are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Utrera 54%, draw 26%, Córdoba II 20%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Utrera v Córdoba IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Utrera win54%

Draw26%

Córdoba II win20%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 10 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Utrera

Córdoba II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Utrera	6	+3	15
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · utrera winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Utrera a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Utrera v Córdoba II~~1.65 – 0.91

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 6 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 2~~2 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Utrera win	54%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Córdoba II win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Utrera or draw	80%	–	–
Utrera clean sheet	40%	–	–
Córdoba II clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 8.6 6.4 3.3 1 12.1 12.1 5.2 2 10.4 9.3 4.3 3 5.8 5.2 2.4 4 2.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Utrera down, Córdoba II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,492 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Utrera at home: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Córdoba II away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Utrera, 0.91 for Córdoba II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~UTR 1–1 COR · COR 2–0 UTR · COR 1–1 UTR · UTR 0–1 COR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 6 Sept

UTRERA

LWWWWW0–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0

CÓRDOBA II

LDLLLD2–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	7	+12	16
2	Utrera	6	+3	15
3	Portuense	6	+7	13
4	Betis C	6	+6	13
5	Pozoblanco	7	+4	11
6	Tomares	6	+2	11
7	Egabrense	6	+1	8
8	San Roque Lepe	6	−1	8
9	Xerez Deportivo	6	−1	8
10	Chiclana	6	−1	8
11	Ceuta II	7	−4	8
12	Recreativo Huelva	6	−3	7
13	Linense	6	−2	6
14	Conil	6	−6	6
15	Cádiz II	6	−1	5
16	Bollullos	6	−2	5
17	Sevilla III	7	−7	5
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2