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Sevilla III v Tomares

Sevilla III
1–2Full time
Tomares

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08
Sevilla III 1–2 Tomares SEVILLA III WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sevilla III win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.780

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sevilla III win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sevilla III 41% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–29–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sevilla III v Tomares
  4. 31′🟥 RED CARD · 31' Sevilla III
  5. 33′Sevilla III are down to ten from 31′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 36–39–26
  6. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Sevilla III win 33%)
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Sevilla III 0–0 Tomares
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Sevilla III 0–0 Tomares
  9. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Sevilla III win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
  10. 58′57′ and it is 0–1: Tomares have scored. 0–1 · 5–21–73
  11. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Sevilla III 0–1 Tomares
  12. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Sevilla III win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
  13. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Tomares win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 21%)
  14. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Sevilla III 0–2 Tomares
  15. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Sevilla III 1–2 Tomares
  16. FTFULL TIME Sevilla III 1–2 Tomares
  17. FTSevilla III 1–2 Tomares · Sevilla III win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sevilla III win41%
Draw31%
Tomares win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sevilla iii winPublished 10 Oct 10:08
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Sevilla III a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sevilla III win41%––
Draw31%––
Tomares win28%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Sevilla III or draw72%––
Sevilla III clean sheet39%––
Tomares clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%
0123450 12.6 10.1 5.2 1 13.1 13.9 6.2 2.0 2 8.4 7.9 3.7 3 3.4 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sevilla III down, Tomares across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsSEV 0–0 TOM · TOM 1–3 SEV · TOM 1–1 SEV · SEV 0–1 TOM

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

SEVILLA III

DLLWDD0–0 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

TOMARES

WDLWWD2–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dos Hermanas5+1113
2Utrera5+212
3Betis C5+510
4Portuense5+410
5Pozoblanco5+49
6Egabrense5+28
7Chiclana5+18
8Tomares5+18
9San Roque Lepe5−17
10Xerez Deportivo5−17
11Linense5−16
12Conil5−36
13Cádiz II505
14Sevilla III5−25
15Recreativo Huelva5−44
16Ceuta II5−74
17Bollullos5−42
18Córdoba II5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.