Linense v Recreativo Huelva prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LinenseDrawRecreativo Huelva

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Linense 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Linense are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Linense 54%, draw 26%, Recreativo Huelva 20%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Linense v Recreativo HuelvaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Linense win54%

Draw26%

Recreativo Huelva win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 10 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Linense

Recreativo Huelva

7Days since last match1

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days6

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Linense	7	−2	7
14	Recreativo Huelva	7	−6	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · linense winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Linense a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Linense v Recreativo Huelva~~1.64 – 0.88

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 7~~13 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Linense win	54%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Recreativo Huelva win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Linense or draw	80%	–	–
Linense clean sheet	42%	–	–
Recreativo Huelva clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.5%

0123450 9.0 6.6 3.2 1 12.5 12.1 5.1 2 10.7 9.2 4.1 3 5.9 5.1 2.2 4 2.5 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Linense down, Recreativo Huelva across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,500 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Linense at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Recreativo Huelva away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Linense, 0.88 for Recreativo Huelva. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LIN 1–2 REC · REC 0–0 LIN · LIN 1–1 REC · REC 2–0 LIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 13 Sept

LINENSE

WLWLLD2–0 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1

RECREATIVO HUELVA

LLLDWL0–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	7	+12	16
2	Utrera	7	0	15
3	Betis C	7	+6	14
4	Tomares	7	+3	14
5	Xerez Deportivo	8	+1	14
6	Portuense	7	+6	13
7	Pozoblanco	7	+4	11
8	San Roque Lepe	7	+2	11
9	Ceuta II	8	−1	11
10	Chiclana	8	−2	9
11	Conil	7	−5	9
12	Egabrense	7	0	8
13	Linense	7	−2	7
14	Recreativo Huelva	7	−6	7
15	Cádiz II	7	−1	6
16	Bollullos	7	−3	5
17	Sevilla III	7	−7	5
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2