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Córdoba II v Pozoblanco

Córdoba II

2–2Full time

Pozoblanco

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41

Córdoba II 2–2 Pozoblanco CÓRDOBA II WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Córdoba II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.776

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Córdoba II win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: Córdoba II was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
9′Much as we predicted: Córdoba II was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–29–29
39′Pozoblanco find the net on 36′. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–88
45′Pozoblanco find the net on 36′. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
45′We said Córdoba II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 39% now
45′HALF-TIME Córdoba II 0–2 Pozoblanco
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
46′SECOND HALF Córdoba II 0–2 Pozoblanco
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Córdoba II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Pozoblanco win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Córdoba II win 2%)
89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Córdoba II 1–2 Pozoblanco
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Córdoba II 2–2 Pozoblanco
FTFULL TIME Córdoba II 2–2 Pozoblanco
FTCórdoba II 2–2 Pozoblanco · Córdoba II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Córdoba II win43%

Draw29%

Pozoblanco win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Córdoba II

Pozoblanco

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Pozoblanco	5	+4	9
18	Córdoba II	5	−7	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · córdoba ii winPublished 11 Oct 11:02

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Córdoba II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Córdoba II win	43%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Pozoblanco win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Córdoba II or draw	72%	–	–
Córdoba II clean sheet	35%	–	–
Pozoblanco clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 9.8 8.5 5.0 1 11.3 13.4 6.7 2.4 2 8.2 8.6 4.5 3 3.8 4.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Córdoba II down, Pozoblanco across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,484 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Córdoba II at home: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Pozoblanco away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Córdoba II, 1.06 for Pozoblanco. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~POZ 2–2 COR · COR 1–2 POZ · COR 0–0 POZ · POZ 2–1 COR

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

CÓRDOBA II

DLDLLL2–2 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–2

POZOBLANCO

DLWLWW2–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	5	+11	13
2	Utrera	5	+2	12
3	Tomares	6	+2	11
4	Betis C	5	+5	10
5	Portuense	5	+4	10
6	Pozoblanco	5	+4	9
7	Egabrense	5	+2	8
8	Chiclana	6	−1	8
9	San Roque Lepe	5	−1	7
10	Xerez Deportivo	5	−1	7
11	Ceuta II	6	−4	7
12	Linense	5	−1	6
13	Conil	6	−6	6
14	Cádiz II	5	0	5
15	Bollullos	6	−2	5
16	Sevilla III	6	−3	5
17	Recreativo Huelva	5	−4	4
18	Córdoba II	5	−7	1