Córdoba II v Cádiz II prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Córdoba IIDrawCádiz II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Córdoba II 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Córdoba II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Córdoba II 40%, draw 29%, Cádiz II 31%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Córdoba II v Cádiz IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Córdoba II win40%

Draw29%

Cádiz II win31%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 10 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Córdoba II

Cádiz II

14Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Cádiz II	7	−1	6
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · córdoba ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Córdoba II a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Córdoba II v Cádiz II~~1.29 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 6~~18 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Córdoba II win	40%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Cádiz II win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Córdoba II or draw	69%	–	–
Córdoba II clean sheet	34%	–	–
Cádiz II clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 10.2 9.4 5.6 2.1 1 11.1 13.5 7.0 2.6 2 7.6 8.2 4.5 3 3.3 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Córdoba II down, Cádiz II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,500 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Córdoba II at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Cádiz II away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Córdoba II, 1.10 for Cádiz II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAD 3–2 COR · COR 0–0 CAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 6 Sept

CÓRDOBA II

LDLLLD2–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2

CÁDIZ II

DWLLLD0–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	7	+12	16
2	Utrera	7	0	15
3	Betis C	7	+6	14
4	Tomares	7	+3	14
5	Xerez Deportivo	8	+1	14
6	Portuense	7	+6	13
7	Pozoblanco	7	+4	11
8	San Roque Lepe	7	+2	11
9	Ceuta II	8	−1	11
10	Chiclana	8	−2	9
11	Conil	7	−5	9
12	Egabrense	7	0	8
13	Linense	7	−2	7
14	Recreativo Huelva	7	−6	7
15	Cádiz II	7	−1	6
16	Bollullos	7	−3	5
17	Sevilla III	7	−7	5
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2