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Ceuta II v Conil

Ceuta II
3–0Full time
Conil

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31
Ceuta II 3–0 Conil CEUTA II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ceuta II win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.418

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 3 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ceuta II win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ceuta II 47% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–27–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ceuta II v Conil
  4. 6′Little has changed for our model: Ceuta II 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–28–24
  5. 46′⚽ GOAL · 58' Ceuta II 3–0 Conil
  6. FTFULL TIME Ceuta II 3–0 Conil
  7. FTCeuta II 3–0 Conil · Ceuta II win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ceuta II win47%
Draw29%
Conil win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ceuta ii winPublished 10 Oct 18:18
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Ceuta II a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ceuta II win47%––
Draw29%––
Conil win24%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Ceuta II or draw76%––
Ceuta II clean sheet40%––
Conil clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 10.8 8.2 4.2 1 12.9 13.2 5.8 2 9.6 8.7 4.0 3 4.5 4.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ceuta II down, Conil across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.90
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored1 of 10
Last meetingsCEU 1–0 CON · CON 0–2 CEU · CEU 2–0 CON · CON 0–1 CEU

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

CEUTA II

DDLWLL2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–5

CONIL

LWLLLW0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dos Hermanas5+1113
2Utrera5+212
3Betis C5+510
4Portuense5+410
5Pozoblanco5+49
6Egabrense5+28
7Chiclana5+18
8Tomares5+18
9San Roque Lepe5−17
10Xerez Deportivo5−17
11Linense5−16
12Conil5−36
13Cádiz II505
14Sevilla III5−25
15Recreativo Huelva5−44
16Ceuta II5−74
17Bollullos5−42
18Córdoba II5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.