Bollullos v Dos Hermanas prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BollullosDrawDos Hermanas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dos Hermanas 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dos Hermanas are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bollullos 32%, draw 26%, Dos Hermanas 42%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Bollullos v Dos HermanasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bollullos win32%

Draw26%

Dos Hermanas win42%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 10 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bollullos

Dos Hermanas

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dos hermanas winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Dos Hermanas a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bollullos v Dos Hermanas~~1.35 – 1.59

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 16~~16 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bollullos win	32%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Dos Hermanas win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Bollullos or draw	58%	–	–
Bollullos clean sheet	21%	–	–
Dos Hermanas clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.2 7.8 6.6 3.5 1 6.6 11.9 8.8 4.7 2 4.9 7.5 5.9 3.1 3 2.2 3.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bollullos down, Dos Hermanas across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,500 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bollullos at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dos Hermanas away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Bollullos, 1.59 for Dos Hermanas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~DOS 1–2 BOL · BOL 2–1 DOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 this season · since 13 Sept

BOLLULLOS

DLLDWL3–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1

DOS HERMANAS

DWWWLW0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 0–3 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	7	+12	16
2	Utrera	7	0	15
3	Betis C	7	+6	14
4	Tomares	7	+3	14
5	Xerez Deportivo	8	+1	14
6	Portuense	7	+6	13
7	Pozoblanco	7	+4	11
8	San Roque Lepe	7	+2	11
9	Ceuta II	8	−1	11
10	Chiclana	8	−2	9
11	Conil	7	−5	9
12	Egabrense	7	0	8
13	Linense	7	−2	7
14	Recreativo Huelva	7	−6	7
15	Cádiz II	7	−1	6
16	Bollullos	7	−3	5
17	Sevilla III	7	−7	5
18	Córdoba II	6	−7	2