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Betis C v Egabrense

Betis C

3–2Full time

Egabrense

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · SUN 11 OCT · Estadio de La Cartuja

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:09

Betis C 3–2 Egabrense BETIS C WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Betis C win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.315

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Betis C win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Betis C was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–22–23
14′Much as we predicted: Betis C was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–23
31′A goal for Betis C on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–7
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
39′A goal for Betis C on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–6
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Betis C win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Betis C 1–1 Egabrense
45′HALF-TIME Betis C 1–1 Egabrense
45′⚽ GOAL · 28' Betis C 1–1 Egabrense
46′SECOND HALF Betis C 1–1 Egabrense
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Betis C 2–1 Egabrense
57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Betis C 3–1 Egabrense
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Betis C 3–2 Egabrense
FTFULL TIME Betis C 3–2 Egabrense
FTBetis C 3–2 Egabrense · Betis C win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Betis C win54%

Draw23%

Egabrense win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:30

VenueEstadio de La Cartuja

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Betis C

Egabrense

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Betis C	5	+5	10
7	Egabrense	5	+2	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · betis c winPublished 11 Oct 10:36

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Betis C a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Betis C win	54%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Egabrense win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Betis C or draw	78%	–	–
Betis C clean sheet	32%	–	–
Egabrense clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.8 4.9 3.2 1 8.4 10.7 5.8 2.3 2 8.5 9.4 5.4 2.1 3 5.4 6.0 3.4 4 2.7 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Betis C down, Egabrense across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,484 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Betis C at home: 2.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 2). Egabrense away: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.92 goals for Betis C, 1.15 for Egabrense. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

BETIS C

WDWWL2–0 · 3–3 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 0–1

EGABRENSE

WWLDD4–2 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dos Hermanas	5	+11	13
2	Utrera	5	+2	12
3	Tomares	6	+2	11
4	Betis C	5	+5	10
5	Portuense	5	+4	10
6	Pozoblanco	5	+4	9
7	Egabrense	5	+2	8
8	Chiclana	6	−1	8
9	San Roque Lepe	5	−1	7
10	Xerez Deportivo	5	−1	7
11	Ceuta II	6	−4	7
12	Linense	5	−1	6
13	Conil	6	−6	6
14	Cádiz II	5	0	5
15	Bollullos	6	−2	5
16	Sevilla III	6	−3	5
17	Recreativo Huelva	5	−4	4
18	Córdoba II	5	−7	1