Sarriana v Portonovo SD

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sarriana win at 47%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Sarriana was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
3. 2′KICK-OFF Sarriana v Portonovo SD
4. 45′HALF-TIME Sarriana 0–1 Portonovo SD
5. 46′Portonovo SD find the net on 45′. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–25–63
6. 46′We said Sarriana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–25–63
7. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Sarriana 0–1 Portonovo SD
8. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Sarriana win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
9. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Portonovo SD win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Sarriana win 38%)
10. 46′SECOND HALF Sarriana 0–1 Portonovo SD
11. 55′We said Sarriana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
12. 61′A goal for Sarriana on 60′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–49–20
13. 61′We said Sarriana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–49–20
14. 61′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 31–49–20
15. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Sarriana 1–1 Portonovo SD
16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Sarriana win: 47% at kick-off, 31% now
17. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Portonovo SD win 69%)
18. 63′We said Sarriana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
19. 66′Sarriana score on 66′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 82–16–3
20. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Sarriana 2–1 Portonovo SD
21. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Sarriana win: 47% at kick-off, 82% now
22. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Sarriana win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 53%)
23. 67′We published Sarriana at 47%. Our model now makes it 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
24. 67′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 82–15–3
25. 73′We published Sarriana at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
26. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Sarriana win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
27. 81′We published Sarriana at 47%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–1 · 91–9–1
28. 87′We published Sarriana at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
29. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Sarriana win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
30. 98′A red card for Sarriana on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 99–1–0
31. 98′🟥 RED CARD · 90+7' Sarriana
32. FTFULL TIME Sarriana 2–1 Portonovo SD
33. FTSarriana 2–1 Portonovo SD · Sarriana win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.