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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 › Celta de Vigo III v Celtiga

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Celta de Vigo III v Celtiga

Celta de Vigo III
1–2Full time
Celtiga

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:06
Celta de Vigo III 1–2 Celtiga CELTA DE VIGO III WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Celta de Vigo III win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.855

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Celta de Vigo III win at 49%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Celta de Vigo III was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Celta de Vigo III v Celtiga
  4. 34′A goal for Celtiga on 33′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  5. 34′We said Celta de Vigo III at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  6. 34′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  7. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Celta de Vigo III 0–1 Celtiga
  8. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Celta de Vigo III win: 49% at kick-off, 18% now
  9. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Celtiga win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Celta de Vigo III win 18%)
  10. 36′Celtiga score on 36′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  11. 36′We said Celta de Vigo III at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  12. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Celta de Vigo III 0–2 Celtiga
  13. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Celta de Vigo III win: 49% at kick-off, 6% now
  14. 42′We said Celta de Vigo III at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Celta de Vigo III 0–2 Celtiga
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Celta de Vigo III 0–2 Celtiga
  17. 92′Celta de Vigo III find the net on 90′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
  18. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Celta de Vigo III 1–2 Celtiga
  19. FTFULL TIME Celta de Vigo III 1–2 Celtiga
  20. FTCelta de Vigo III 1–2 Celtiga · Celta de Vigo III win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Celta de Vigo III are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Celta de Vigo III 49%, draw 25%, Celtiga 26%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Celta de Vigo III v CeltigaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Celta de Vigo III win49%
Draw25%
Celtiga win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:30

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Celta de Vigo III

Celtiga

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Celta de Vigo III6−27
14Celtiga6−16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · celta de vigo iii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Celta de Vigo III a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Celta de Vigo III v Celtiga1.79 – 1.24
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 6 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 7 v 613 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Celta de Vigo III win49%––
Draw25%––
Celtiga win26%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Celta de Vigo III or draw74%––
Celta de Vigo III clean sheet29%––
Celtiga clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%
0123450 5.9 5.3 3.8 1 7.9 11.4 6.6 2.7 2 7.7 9.4 5.8 2.4 3 4.6 5.6 3.5 4 2.1 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Celta de Vigo III down, Celtiga across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsCeltiga 1–1 Celta de Vigo III · Celta de Vigo III 2–4 Celtiga

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 6 Sept

CELTA DE VIGO III

LWDLWL1–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 1–3

CELTIGA

DLLWDD1–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Boiro6+513
2Barco6+211
3Antela6+111
4Sarriana6+210
5Portonovo SD6+210
6Alondras6+110
7Estradense6010
8Lalin6010
9Villalbés6+19
10Atlético Arteixo709
11Silva6−18
12Pontevedra II6+27
13Celta de Vigo III6−27
14Celtiga6−16
15Somozas6−16
16Coruña6−26
17Viveiro6−44
18Arenteiro7−54

The competition's standings before kick-off.