Antela v Lalin prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AntelaDrawLalin

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Antela 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Antela are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Antela 39%, draw 32%, Lalin 29%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Antela v LalinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Antela win39%

Draw32%

Lalin win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Antela

Lalin

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Lalin	7	+1	13
5	Antela	7	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · antela winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Antela a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Antela v Lalin~~1.14 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 13~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Antela win	39%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Lalin win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Antela or draw	71%	–	–
Antela clean sheet	40%	–	–
Lalin clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 14.2%

0123450 14.2 10.7 5.5 1 13.3 14.1 6.0 2 8.2 7.4 3.4 3 3.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Antela down, Lalin across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,501 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.6% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Antela at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Lalin away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Antela, 0.93 for Lalin. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 13 Sept

ANTELA

LDWWDD0–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

LALIN

WLDWLW1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Boiro	7	+6	16
2	Sarriana	8	+3	14
3	Lalin	7	+1	13
4	Barco	7	+2	12
5	Antela	7	+1	12
6	Portonovo SD	8	+1	11
7	Silva	7	0	11
8	Villalbés	7	+1	10
9	Alondras	7	0	10
10	Celtiga	8	0	10
11	Estradense	7	−1	10
12	Atlético Arteixo	7	0	9
13	Coruña	7	−1	9
14	Pontevedra II	7	+1	7
15	Somozas	8	−2	7
16	Celta de Vigo III	7	−3	7
17	Viveiro	7	−4	5
18	Arenteiro	7	−5	4