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Alondras v Boiro
Alondras
BoiroTercera División RFEF - Group 1 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Boiro win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Boiro 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Alondras v Boiro
- 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Boiro win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Alondras 0–0 Boiro
- 46′SECOND HALF Alondras 0–0 Boiro
- 48′A goal for Boiro on 47′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–20–73
- 48′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 0–1 · 7–20–73
- 48′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 7–20–73
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Alondras 0–1 Boiro
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Boiro win: 37% at kick-off, 73% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Boiro win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
- 54′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Boiro win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 66′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 75′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Boiro win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
- 81′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 87′We said Boiro at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Alondras 0–1 Boiro
- FTAlondras 0–1 Boiro · Boiro win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Boiro just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Alondras 34%, draw 29%, Boiro 37%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Alondras win34%
Boiro win37%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:15
RoundGroup 1 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
AlondrasMIN
BoiroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Alondras
Boiro
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Boiro a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alondras win | 34% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Boiro win | 37% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | – | – |
| Alondras or draw | 63% | – | – |
| Alondras clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Boiro clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept
ALONDRAS
BOIRO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boiro | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Barco | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 3 | Antela | 6 | +1 | 11 |
| 4 | Silva | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Portonovo SD | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Alondras | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Villalbés | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Lalin | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Estradense | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Arteixo | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Pontevedra II | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Celta de Vigo III | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Somozas | 6 | −1 | 6 |
| 16 | Coruña | 6 | −2 | 6 |
| 17 | Viveiro | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 7 | −5 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Barco
Antela
Silva
Sarriana
Portonovo SD
Villalbés
Lalin
Estradense
Atlético Arteixo
Celtiga
Pontevedra II
Celta de Vigo III
Somozas
Coruña
Viveiro
Arenteiro