Leganes v Cordoba

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Leganes win at 44%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Leganes was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–26–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Leganes v Cordoba
4. 42′9 shots for Cordoba, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 36–38–26
5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Leganes win 35%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Leganes 0–0 Cordoba
7. 45′SECOND HALF Leganes 0–0 Cordoba
8. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Leganes win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
9. 51′Cordoba have had 12 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 33–43–24
10. 52′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–44–24
11. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–46–23
12. 59′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–49–22
13. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Leganes · On: Álvaro Morata · Off: Patrick Soko
14. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Leganes · On: Unax del Cura · Off: Naim Garcia Corrected
15. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Leganes · On: Dani Rodriguez · Off: Ismael Gharbi
16. 65′Cordoba have had 16 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 26–55–19
17. 68′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
18. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Leganes win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
19. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Álvaro Morata · Leganes
20. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Cordoba · On: Victor Sánchez Morales · Off: Diego Percan
21. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Álex Millán · Leganes
22. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Yassine Kechta · Leganes
23. 74′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
24. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Álex Martín · Cordoba
25. 79′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–11
26. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Leganes win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
27. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Cordoba · On: Salim El Jebari · Off: Diego Bri
28. 82′We said Leganes at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–10–89
29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Leganes · On: Rubén Peña · Off: Álvaro Tejero
30. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Leganes 0–1 Cordoba
31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Leganes win: 44% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Cordoba win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
33. 83′83′: Eder Garcia on the scoresheet for Cordoba, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 1–9–90
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Leganes · On: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed · Off: Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
35. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Victor Sánchez Morales · Cordoba
36. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Cordoba · On: Théo Zidane · Off: Eder Garcia
37. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Cordoba · On: Carlos Albarran · Off: Cristian Carracedo
38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Cordoba · On: Damián Cáceres Rodríguez · Off: Adnane Ghailan Benktib
39. 91′A red card for Leganes on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 0–4–96
40. 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Leganes
41. 95′Full time, 0–1. We called Leganes at 44% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
42. FTFULL TIME Leganes 0–1 Cordoba
43. FTLeganes 0–1 Cordoba · Leganes win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.