Las Palmas v Castellón

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Las Palmas win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Las Palmas 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Las Palmas v Castellón
4. 7′We said Las Palmas at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–13
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Las Palmas 1–0 Castellón
6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Las Palmas win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 9′A goal for Las Palmas on 7′. 0–0 · 41–28–31
8. 9′GOAL DISALLOWED · 9' Las Palmas
9. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Las Palmas win: 42% at kick-off, 41% now
10. 17′We said Las Palmas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–23–60
11. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Las Palmas 0–1 Castellón
12. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Las Palmas win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
13. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Castellón win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Las Palmas win 17%)
14. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Alex Suárez · Las Palmas
15. 19′Israel Suero Fernández scores for Castellón on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–23–61
16. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Iñaki González Zambrano · Las Palmas
17. 22′We said Las Palmas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–11–84
18. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Las Palmas 0–2 Castellón
19. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Las Palmas win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
20. 24′22′: Agustín Sienra on the scoresheet for Castellón, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 5–11–85
21. 26′We said Las Palmas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–85
22. 27′SUBSTITUTION · 26' Las Palmas · On: Enzo Loiodice · Off: Iñaki González Zambrano
23. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Las Palmas win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
24. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Iván Jaime · Las Palmas
25. 46′SECOND HALF Las Palmas 0–2 Castellón
26. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Castellón · On: Ilias Kostis · Off: Alberto Jiménez
27. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Las Palmas · On: Elías Romero · Off: Kirian Rodríguez
28. 49′HALF-TIME Las Palmas 0–2 Castellón
29. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Matías Orozco · Castellón
30. 83′Castellón ahead on 54′ through Pablo Santiago. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
31. 83′⚽ GOAL · 54' Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón · Pablo Santiago
32. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Las Palmas · On: Manu Fuster · Off: Aboubacar Bassinga
33. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Las Palmas · On: Mateo Acimovic · Off: Jefte Betancor Sanchez
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Castellón · On: Jari Vlak · Off: Matías Orozco
35. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Las Palmas · On: Jesé Rodríguez · Off: Taisei Miyashiro
36. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Juanma Herzog · Las Palmas
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Castellón · On: David Muale Nzanza · Off: Israel Suero Fernández
38. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
39. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Elías Romero · Las Palmas
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Castellón · On: Michal Willmann · Off: Adam Jakobsen
41. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Castellón · On: Martín Conde Gómez · Off: Pablo Santiago
42. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Andrés Rodríguez Martínez · Las Palmas
43. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas
44. FTFULL TIME Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón
45. FTLas Palmas 0–3 Castellón · Las Palmas win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.