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Eldense v Cordoba

Eldense
2–1Full time
Cordoba

Segunda División · SAT 10 OCT · Nuevo Pepico Amat

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02
Eldense 2–1 Cordoba ELDENSE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Eldense win42%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.503
The market’s Brier score0.496

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eldense win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Eldense 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–33
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Eldense 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–33
  4. 11′Diego Bri scores for Cordoba on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–22–59
  5. 13′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
  6. 16′Rubén González Alves scores for Cordoba on 11′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  7. 17′16′ and it is 0–1: Adnane Ghailan Benktib on the scoresheet for Cordoba. 0–1 · 18–22–60
  8. 19′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–23–60
  9. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 18% now
  10. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 6% now
  11. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 15–23–62
  12. 34′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  13. 38′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–24–64
  14. 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–24–64
  15. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Carlos Guirao Mora · Eldense
  16. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  17. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 13% now
  18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 13% now
  19. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  20. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Eldense 0–2 Cordoba · Rubén González Alves
  21. 45′SECOND HALF Eldense 0–1 Cordoba
  22. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Eldense · On: Jesús Clemente Corcho · Off: Alejandro Ibarrondo Corrected
  23. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  24. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Cordoba win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Eldense win 12%)
  25. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Cordoba · On: Enol Rodríguez Heres · Off: Diego Percan Corrected
  26. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eldense · On: Javi Martínez · Off: Manuel Nieto Corrected
  27. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Justin Smith · Eldense
  28. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Eldense 1–1 Cordoba · Rubén González Alves
  29. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Ismael Ruiz Sánchez · Cordoba
  30. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Eldense 1–1 Cordoba · Jorge Rastrojo
  31. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Cordoba · On: Damián Cáceres Rodríguez · Off: Eder Garcia Corrected
  32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Cordoba · On: Kevin Villodres Medina · Off: Diego Bri Corrected
  33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Eldense · On: Iker Recio Ortega · Off: Juan Larios López Corrected
  34. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Eldense · On: Jorge Martin Camunas · Off: Carlos Guirao Mora Corrected
  35. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eldense · On: Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo · Off: Justin Smith Corrected
  36. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Nelson Monte · Cordoba
  37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Cordoba · On: Théo Zidane · Off: Adnane Ghailan Benktib Corrected
  38. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo · Eldense
  39. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Daniel Budesca · Cordoba
  40. 95′⚽ GOAL · 95' Eldense 2–1 Cordoba · Jorge Rastrojo
  41. FTFULL TIME Eldense 2–1 Cordoba
  42. FTEldense 2–1 Cordoba · Eldense win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Eldense win42%
Draw25%
Cordoba win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:30

Venue · Nuevo Pepico Amat

Referee · Marta Huerta de Aza

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2

13 Juanpa

19 A. Ibarrondo

5 A. G. Serradell

4 F. Smand

3 J. Larios

10 Fidel

14 J. Smith

15 C. Guirao

33 A. Olabarrieta

7 J. Rastrojo

11 M. Nieto

Coach · Javier Calleja

Substitutes

36 · D. Bernabeu

23 · J. Martin

2 · I. Recio

22 · J. Yanda

34 · J. Olaizola

6 · B. Calvo

24 · J. Martinez

8 · M. Bustillo

29 · D. Rodrigues

17 · J. Clemente

Cordoba

4-3-3

1 I. Alvarez

30 D. Budesca

20 N. Monte

16 R. Alves

3 D. Tasende

28 E. Garcia

8 I. Ruiz

14 A. Ghailan

23 C. Carracedo

9 Percan

11 D. Bri

Coach · Ivan Ania

Substitutes

13 · Guilherme Fernandes

5 · J. Gutierrez

27 · E. Munoz

21 · C. Albarran

4 · Alex Martin

7 · T. Zidane

6 · D. Caceres

18 · E. Rodriguez

24 · S. El Jebari

19 · I. Sanz

15 · V. Sanchez

10 · K. Medina

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2

13 Juanpa

19 A. Ibarrondo

5 A. G. Serradell

4 F. Smand

3 J. Larios

10 Fidel

14 J. Smith

15 C. Guirao

33 A. Olabarrieta

7 J. Rastrojo

11 M. Nieto

Coach · Javier Calleja

Substitutes

36 · D. Bernabeu

23 · J. Martin

2 · I. Recio

22 · J. Yanda

34 · J. Olaizola

6 · B. Calvo

24 · J. Martinez

8 · M. Bustillo

29 · D. Rodrigues

17 · J. Clemente

Cordoba

4-3-3

1 I. Alvarez

30 D. Budesca

20 N. Monte

16 R. Alves

3 D. Tasende

28 E. Garcia

8 I. Ruiz

14 A. Ghailan

23 C. Carracedo

9 Percan

11 D. Bri

Coach · Ivan Ania

Substitutes

13 · Guilherme Fernandes

5 · J. Gutierrez

27 · E. Munoz

21 · C. Albarran

4 · Alex Martin

7 · T. Zidane

6 · D. Caceres

18 · E. Rodriguez

24 · S. El Jebari

19 · I. Sanz

15 · V. Sanchez

10 · K. Medina

Our number · eldense winPublished 10 Oct 17:54
42% The market43%
Us42%
Market43%

We make Eldense a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:2010 OCT 15:27
Our probability · eldense win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 40% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Eldense win42%43%0
Draw25%26%−1
Cordoba win33%31%+1
Over 2.5 goals55%57%−3
Both teams to score58%62%−4
Over 1.5 goals78%79%−1
Over 3.5 goals33%36%−3
Eldense or draw67%69%−1
Eldense clean sheet27%––
Cordoba clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.1 7.1 5.0 2.2 1 8.4 11.7 7.5 3.4 2 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.6 3 3.5 4.6 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Eldense down, Cordoba across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsELD 1–1 COR · COR 2–0 ELD

Form · last six in Segunda División

ELDENSE

LDWLLW0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 4–1

CORDOBA

LLLWLW1–3 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Eibar8+1121
2Castellón8+1220
3Almeria8+818
4Girona8+614
5Mallorca8+514
6Burgos8+314
7Sabadell8+213
8Sporting Gijon8013
9Granada CF8011
10Oviedo8011
11Las Palmas8−111
12Tenerife8−211
13Leganes8−511
14Valladolid8−39
15Cordoba8−59
16Real Sociedad II8−28
17Eldense8−28
18Celta de Vigo II8−48
19Cadiz8+17
20FC Andorra8−37
21AD Ceuta FC8−115
22Albacete8−101

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.