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Eldense v Cordoba
Segunda División · SAT 10 OCT · Nuevo Pepico Amat
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Eldense win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Eldense 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–33
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Eldense 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–33
- 11′Diego Bri scores for Cordoba on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–22–59
- 13′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
- 16′Rubén González Alves scores for Cordoba on 11′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
- 17′16′ and it is 0–1: Adnane Ghailan Benktib on the scoresheet for Cordoba. 0–1 · 18–22–60
- 19′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–23–60
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 18% now
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 6% now
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 15–23–62
- 34′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 38′We said Eldense at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–24–64
- 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–24–64
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Carlos Guirao Mora · Eldense
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 13% now
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 13% now
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Eldense 0–2 Cordoba · Rubén González Alves
- 45′SECOND HALF Eldense 0–1 Cordoba
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Eldense · On: Jesús Clemente Corcho · Off: Alejandro Ibarrondo Corrected
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Eldense win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Cordoba win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Eldense win 12%)
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Cordoba · On: Enol Rodríguez Heres · Off: Diego Percan Corrected
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eldense · On: Javi Martínez · Off: Manuel Nieto Corrected
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Justin Smith · Eldense
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Eldense 1–1 Cordoba · Rubén González Alves
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Ismael Ruiz Sánchez · Cordoba
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Eldense 1–1 Cordoba · Jorge Rastrojo
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Cordoba · On: Damián Cáceres Rodríguez · Off: Eder Garcia Corrected
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Cordoba · On: Kevin Villodres Medina · Off: Diego Bri Corrected
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Eldense · On: Iker Recio Ortega · Off: Juan Larios López Corrected
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Eldense · On: Jorge Martin Camunas · Off: Carlos Guirao Mora Corrected
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eldense · On: Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo · Off: Justin Smith Corrected
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Nelson Monte · Cordoba
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Cordoba · On: Théo Zidane · Off: Adnane Ghailan Benktib Corrected
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo · Eldense
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Daniel Budesca · Cordoba
- 95′⚽ GOAL · 95' Eldense 2–1 Cordoba · Jorge Rastrojo
- FTFULL TIME Eldense 2–1 Cordoba
- FTEldense 2–1 Cordoba · Eldense win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 17:30
Venue · Nuevo Pepico Amat
Referee · Marta Huerta de Aza
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Eldense
4-4-2
13 Juanpa
19 A. Ibarrondo
5 A. G. Serradell
4 F. Smand
3 J. Larios
10 Fidel
14 J. Smith
15 C. Guirao
33 A. Olabarrieta
7 J. Rastrojo
11 M. Nieto
Coach · Javier Calleja
Substitutes
36 · D. Bernabeu
23 · J. Martin
2 · I. Recio
22 · J. Yanda
34 · J. Olaizola
6 · B. Calvo
24 · J. Martinez
8 · M. Bustillo
29 · D. Rodrigues
17 · J. Clemente
Cordoba
4-3-3
1 I. Alvarez
30 D. Budesca
20 N. Monte
16 R. Alves
3 D. Tasende
28 E. Garcia
8 I. Ruiz
14 A. Ghailan
23 C. Carracedo
9 Percan
11 D. Bri
Coach · Ivan Ania
Substitutes
13 · Guilherme Fernandes
5 · J. Gutierrez
27 · E. Munoz
21 · C. Albarran
4 · Alex Martin
7 · T. Zidane
6 · D. Caceres
18 · E. Rodriguez
24 · S. El Jebari
19 · I. Sanz
15 · V. Sanchez
10 · K. Medina
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Eldense
4-4-2
13 Juanpa
19 A. Ibarrondo
5 A. G. Serradell
4 F. Smand
3 J. Larios
10 Fidel
14 J. Smith
15 C. Guirao
33 A. Olabarrieta
7 J. Rastrojo
11 M. Nieto
Coach · Javier Calleja
Substitutes
36 · D. Bernabeu
23 · J. Martin
2 · I. Recio
22 · J. Yanda
34 · J. Olaizola
6 · B. Calvo
24 · J. Martinez
8 · M. Bustillo
29 · D. Rodrigues
17 · J. Clemente
Cordoba
4-3-3
1 I. Alvarez
30 D. Budesca
20 N. Monte
16 R. Alves
3 D. Tasende
28 E. Garcia
8 I. Ruiz
14 A. Ghailan
23 C. Carracedo
9 Percan
11 D. Bri
Coach · Ivan Ania
Substitutes
13 · Guilherme Fernandes
5 · J. Gutierrez
27 · E. Munoz
21 · C. Albarran
4 · Alex Martin
7 · T. Zidane
6 · D. Caceres
18 · E. Rodriguez
24 · S. El Jebari
19 · I. Sanz
15 · V. Sanchez
10 · K. Medina
We make Eldense a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 40% to 43% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 42% | 43% | 0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Cordoba win | 33% | 31% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 57% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Eldense or draw | 67% | 69% | −1 |
| Eldense clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Cordoba clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Segunda División
ELDENSE
CORDOBA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellón | 8 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | −5 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | −5 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo II | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | −11 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | −10 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Eibar
Castellón
Almeria
Girona
Mallorca
Burgos
Sabadell
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
Oviedo
Las Palmas
Tenerife
Leganes
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
Celta de Vigo II
Cadiz
FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete