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Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife
Celta de Vigo II
TenerifeSegunda División · MON 19 OCT · Municipal de Balaídos
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Celta de Vigo II win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Celta de Vigo II 48% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife
- 10′🟨 YELLOW · 10' César Álvarez Abrante · Tenerife
- 28′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Celta de Vigo II 1–0 Tenerife
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 76% now
- 29′Alvaro·Marin Sesma scores for Celta de Vigo II on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–6
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
- 43′SUBSTITUTION · 43' Celta de Vigo II · On: Alexis Olmedo Vila · Off: Enrique Ribes Recaj
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Enrique Ribes Recaj · Celta de Vigo II
- 45′SECOND HALF Celta de Vigo II 1–0 Tenerife
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Tenerife · On: Juanjo Sánchez · Off: Jesus Alvarez
- 47′HALF-TIME Celta de Vigo II 1–0 Tenerife
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Tenerife · On: A. Krdžalić · Off: Mauro Pitton
- 49′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–44–21
- 49′Celta de Vigo II have had 11 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–44–21
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 35% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Celta de Vigo II win 79%)
- 51′50′: Nacho Gil on the scoresheet for Tenerife, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 34–45–21
- 52′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Tenerife · On: Noel López · Off: Dani Fernández
- 61′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 64′12 shots for Celta de Vigo II, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 27–56–17
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Celta de Vigo II · On: Frank Germain Jonathan Miller · Off: Pablo Gavián Alonso
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Celta de Vigo II · On: Jan Oliveras · Off: Aldrine Kibet
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Tenerife · On: Jesús De Miguel Alameda · Off: Christian Pierre Louis Gomis
- 68′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Jorge Moreno San Vidal · Tenerife
- 74′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–12
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Frank Germain Jonathan Miller · Celta de Vigo II
- 79′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–9
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Celta de Vigo II · On: Vladimir Henrique Silva · Off: Ángel Arcos
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Celta de Vigo II · On: Mateo Sobral Sabajanes · Off: Hugo Cuenca
- 84′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–6
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Celta de Vigo II win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Tenerife · On: Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa · Off: Enric Gallego
- 91′We said Celta de Vigo II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
- 94′PENALTY MISSED · 90+3' Nacho Gil · Tenerife
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Óscar Marcos · Celta de Vigo II
- FTFULL TIME Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
- FTCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife · Celta de Vigo II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Celta de Vigo II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Celta de Vigo II 48%, draw 27%, Tenerife 25%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Celta de Vigo II win48%
Tenerife win25%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 19:30
RoundMatchday 10
VenueMunicipal de Balaídos
RefereeGonzalo Romero Freixas
Match timeline
All events
Celta de Vigo IIMIN
TenerifeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3
Tenerife
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Celta de Vigo II
Tenerife
Last match: 10 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División
Last match: 12 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3
1 Coke Carrillo
3 K. Ribes
6 P. Meixus
18 Joel López
2 P. Gavian
17 H. Cuenca
16 Adrià Capdevila
11 Ángel Arcos
15 A. Kibet
9 A. Marin
10 O. Marcos
Coach · Fredi
Substitutes
31 · Raúl Chirveches Sánchez
19 · A. Davila Outerelo
25 · M. Gonzalez
28 · Vladimir Henrique Silva
23 · G. Miller
14 · Jan Oliveras
21 · Alexis Olmedo
26 · Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey
27 · Noah Rodríguez Guallar
29 · M. Sobral
13 · Caio Barone
Tenerife
4-4-2
1 Dani Martín
19 César Álvarez
5 Jorge Moreno
12 A. Landázuri
2 David Rodríguez
29 Daniel Fernández
20 M. Pittón
16 Jesús Álvarez
10 Nacho Gil
17 C. Gomis
18 Enric Gallego
Coach · Álvaro
Substitutes
7 · M. Pečar
21 · Marc Mateu
11 · Noel López
40 · Gabriel Lozano
4 · José León
23 · A. Krdžalić
3 · R. Jureškin
22 · G. Ranos
6 · Juanjo
27 · N. Viereck
9 · De Miguel
15 · Fabricio
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3
1 Coke Carrillo
3 K. Ribes
6 P. Meixus
18 Joel López
2 P. Gavian
17 H. Cuenca
16 Adrià Capdevila
11 Ángel Arcos
15 A. Kibet
9 A. Marin
10 O. Marcos
Coach · Fredi
Substitutes
31 · Raúl Chirveches Sánchez
19 · A. Davila Outerelo
25 · M. Gonzalez
28 · Vladimir Henrique Silva
23 · G. Miller
14 · Jan Oliveras
21 · Alexis Olmedo
26 · Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey
27 · Noah Rodríguez Guallar
29 · M. Sobral
13 · Caio Barone
Tenerife
4-4-2
1 Dani Martín
19 César Álvarez
5 Jorge Moreno
12 A. Landázuri
2 David Rodríguez
29 Daniel Fernández
20 M. Pittón
16 Jesús Álvarez
10 Nacho Gil
17 C. Gomis
18 Enric Gallego
Coach · Álvaro
Substitutes
7 · M. Pečar
21 · Marc Mateu
11 · Noel López
40 · Gabriel Lozano
4 · José León
23 · A. Krdžalić
3 · R. Jureškin
22 · G. Ranos
6 · Juanjo
27 · N. Viereck
9 · De Miguel
15 · Fabricio
We make Celta de Vigo II a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 35% to 36% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II win | 48% | 36% | +12 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Tenerife win | 25% | 35% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 53% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 71% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Celta de Vigo II or draw | 75% | 65% | +10 |
| Celta de Vigo II clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Tenerife clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 5 Sept
CELTA DE VIGO II
TENERIFE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 | Eibar | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Girona | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Granada CF | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Burgos | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Eldense | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Tenerife | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 14 | Cordoba | 10 | −5 | 12 |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 9 | −1 | 11 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | −6 | 11 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | −9 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | −4 | 10 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | −7 | 8 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | −2 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | −13 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | −16 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Almeria
Castellón
Eibar
Sporting Gijon
Girona
Mallorca
Granada CF
Burgos
Oviedo
Sabadell
Eldense
Valladolid
Cordoba
Las Palmas
Leganes
FC Andorra
Real Sociedad II
Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete