Almeria v Oviedo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Almeria win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Almeria was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Almeria v Oviedo
4. 16′We published Almeria at 49%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Almeria 1–0 Oviedo
6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Almeria win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 17′Almeria find the net on 16′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
8. 26′We published Almeria at 49%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Almeria 2–0 Oviedo
10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Almeria win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
11. 28′Miguel De La Fuente scores for Almeria on 27′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
12. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Oviedo · On: Pablo Saenz · Off: Aritz Aldasoro
13. 45′SECOND HALF Almeria 2–0 Oviedo
14. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' David Costas · Oviedo
15. 47′HALF-TIME Almeria 2–0 Oviedo
16. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Oviedo · On: Víctor García Mingo · Off: Alberto Reina
17. 49′We published Almeria at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
18. 50′Oviedo have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
19. 53′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 2–0 · 95–4–1
20. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Pablo Saenz · Oviedo
21. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Marcos Luna · Almeria
22. 59′Oviedo have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
23. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Oviedo · On: Estanis Pedrola · Off: José Luis Morales
24. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Almeria · On: Adrián Embarba · Off: Quim junyent
25. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Almeria · On: Leonardo Lelo · Off: Brian Cipenga
26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Oviedo · On: Daniel Villahermosa · Off: Mikel Goti Lopez
27. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Almeria win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
28. 76′Oviedo have had 18 attempts to 6 and it is still 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
29. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Nacho Vidal · Oviedo
30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Almeria · On: Léo Baptistão · Off: Miguel De La Fuente
31. 82′We published Almeria at 49%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
32. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Adrián Embarba · Almeria
33. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Víctor García Mingo · Oviedo
34. 87′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 95–5–0
35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Oviedo · On: Jacobo González · Off: David Costas
36. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Almeria 2–1 Oviedo
37. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Almeria win: 49% at kick-off, 95% now
38. 89′87′: Jacobo González on the scoresheet for Oviedo, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
39. 89′We said Almeria at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 6–90–4
40. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Almeria 2–2 Oviedo
41. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Almeria win: 49% at kick-off, 6% now
42. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Almeria win 96%)
43. 90′Oviedo have had 20 attempts to 7 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 5–91–4
44. 91′Oviedo level it on 90′ through an own goal by Jorge Pulido. 2–2. 2–2 · 4–93–3
45. 93′We said Almeria at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–2 · 3–95–2
46. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Daniel Villahermosa · Oviedo
47. 94′Full time, 2–2. We called Almeria at 49% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
48. FTFULL TIME Almeria 2–2 Oviedo
49. FTAlmeria 2–2 Oviedo · Almeria win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.