RSD Alcalá v SS Reyes

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SS Reyes win at 37%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: SS Reyes 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
3. 2′KICK-OFF RSD Alcalá v SS Reyes
4. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was SS Reyes win 35%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME RSD Alcalá 0–0 SS Reyes
6. 46′SECOND HALF RSD Alcalá 0–0 SS Reyes
7. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' SS Reyes win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
8. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–48–27
9. 58′We said SS Reyes at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 24–51–25
10. 61′We said SS Reyes at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 23–53–24
11. 64′A goal for RSD Alcalá on 63′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–19–4
12. 64′We said SS Reyes at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
13. 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' RSD Alcalá 1–0 SS Reyes
14. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' SS Reyes win: 37% at kick-off, 4% now
15. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' RSD Alcalá win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 55%)
16. 75′SS Reyes score on 75′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 15–70–16
17. 75′We said SS Reyes at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–1 · 15–70–16
18. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' RSD Alcalá 1–1 SS Reyes
19. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' SS Reyes win: 37% at kick-off, 16% now
20. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was RSD Alcalá win 84%)
21. 76′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 14–71–15
22. 77′We said SS Reyes at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
23. 78′SS Reyes find the net on 78′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–88
24. 78′We said SS Reyes at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–2 · 1–12–88
25. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' RSD Alcalá 1–2 SS Reyes
26. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' SS Reyes win: 37% at kick-off, 88% now
27. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' SS Reyes win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 73%)
28. 79′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–11–88
29. 81′We said SS Reyes at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
30. 87′We said SS Reyes at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
31. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' SS Reyes win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
32. FTFULL TIME RSD Alcalá 1–2 SS Reyes
33. FTRSD Alcalá 1–2 SS Reyes · SS Reyes win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.