Home › Football › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › Real Madrid III v Conquense
Back
Real Madrid III v Conquense
Real Madrid IIIConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Conquense just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Real Madrid III 34%, draw 31%, Conquense 34%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Real Madrid III win34%Conquense win34%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 5 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Real Madrid IIIMINConquenseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Real Madrid III
Conquense
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Conquense | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 16 | Real Madrid III | 7 | −3 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Conquense a 34% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III win | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | +1 |
| Conquense win | 34% | 40% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 48% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 66% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 21% | −4 |
| Real Madrid III or draw | 66% | 60% | +6 |
| Real Madrid III clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Conquense clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 this season · since 13 Sept
REAL MADRID III
CONQUENSE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SS Reyes | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 | Conquense | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  A Madrid III | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Real Valladolid II | 7 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 |  Numancia | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Salamanca UDS | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  CF Talavera | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Navalcarnero | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Atlético Paso | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 |  Guadalajara | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 |  RSD Alcalá | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Real Ávila | 8 | −7 | 7 |
| 15 |  Albacete II | 7 | −12 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid III | 7 | −3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Calvo Sotelo | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 |  Getafe II | 7 | −5 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.