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Real Madrid III v Atlético Tordesillas

Real Madrid III

0–0Full time

Atlético Tordesillas

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41

Real Madrid III 0–0 Atlético Tordesillas REAL MADRID III WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Real Madrid III win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.793

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Real Madrid III win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Real Madrid III 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–27–28
1′KICK-OFF Real Madrid III v Atlético Tordesillas
7′Little has changed for our model: Real Madrid III 45% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–28–27
45′HALF-TIME Real Madrid III 0–0 Atlético Tordesillas
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 37% now
46′SECOND HALF Real Madrid III 0–0 Atlético Tordesillas
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Real Madrid III win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Real Madrid III win 35%)
FTFULL TIME Real Madrid III 0–0 Atlético Tordesillas
FTReal Madrid III 0–0 Atlético Tordesillas · Real Madrid III win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Real Madrid III win45%

Draw28%

Atlético Tordesillas win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Real Madrid III

Atlético Tordesillas

4Days since last match7

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Atlético Tordesillas	5	−2	4
18	Real Madrid III	5	−3	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real madrid iii winPublished 11 Oct 11:02

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Real Madrid III a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Real Madrid III win	45%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Atlético Tordesillas win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Real Madrid III or draw	73%	–	–
Real Madrid III clean sheet	36%	–	–
Atlético Tordesillas clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 9.9 8.9 4.7 1 12.1 13.0 6.4 2.2 2 8.6 8.6 4.4 3 4.0 4.0 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Real Madrid III down, Atlético Tordesillas across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,576 Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Real Madrid III at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Atlético Tordesillas away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Real Madrid III, 1.02 for Atlético Tordesillas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

REAL MADRID III

LDDLLD0–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

ATLÉTICO TORDESILLAS

LLDLW1–3 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Salamanca UDS	6	+3	12
2	A Madrid III	5	+3	12
3	Numancia	5	+5	11
4	Conquense	5	+3	10
5	SS Reyes	6	+3	10
6	Real Valladolid II	5	+7	9
7	CF Talavera	5	+2	8
8	Gimnástica Segoviana	5	+1	7
9	Navalcarnero	5	0	7
10	RSD Alcalá	5	0	6
11	Real Ávila	5	−3	6
12	Guadalajara	5	−1	5
13	Atlético Paso	5	−2	5
14	Albacete II	5	−8	5
15	Atlético Tordesillas	5	−2	4
16	Calvo Sotelo	5	−6	4
17	Getafe II	5	−2	3
18	Real Madrid III	5	−3	3