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Real Ávila v Numancia
Real ÁvilaNumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Real Ávila win33%Numancia win37%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00
Match timeline
All events
Real ÁvilaMINNumanciaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Real Ávila
Numancia
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | −3 | 6 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Numancia a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 43% to 39% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila win | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | −1 |
| Numancia win | 37% | 39% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 40% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 48% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 66% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 22% | −4 |
| Real Ávila or draw | 63% | 61% | +1 |
| Real Ávila clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Numancia clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
REAL ÁVILA
NUMANCIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salamanca UDS | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  A Madrid III | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 3 | Numancia | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Conquense | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  SS Reyes | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Real Valladolid II | 5 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 |  CF Talavera | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Navalcarnero | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  RSD Alcalá | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | −3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Guadalajara | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Atlético Paso | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Albacete II | 5 | −8 | 5 |
| 15 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Calvo Sotelo | 5 | −6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Getafe II | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Real Madrid III | 5 | −3 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.